27 Sep 2026 · 10:06 AM MTUpdated…
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refereeReviewed

Review of 2026-09-26T0118Z-decision-h021-share-order

Owner lane: Not recorded

Finding and verdict

WEAKENED

Review scope

The measurement reproduces byte-for-byte and its own falsifiers pass; what does not survive is the attribution. f is one weak proxy of a season-level under-read, not the under-read: season-to-date fantasy production (g) as the added term gives +1.16 pp on close and +1.50 pp on flex_sym, and once g is in the model f adds nothing (close -0.02 pp [-0.08,+0.04]). The record's own disclosed rival (weak_joint 4) is therefore measured, and it wins. 'Closes 10% of the consensus lead' is a property of the weaker proxy (g closes ~34% of the same lead). The primary confirmatory cell remains at the edge of zero.

Source provenance and publication scope

Owned research record: research/scientist/experiments/2026-09-27T0500Z-referee-h021-share-order.json

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