25T0713Z-referee-2026-09-14T2127Z-tw-lags-offseason
Owner lane: Not recorded
Finding and verdict
WEAKENED
Next action
If anyone cares about weeks 1-3 volume: the resolution problem is 288 team-games per three seasons, so the cell needs more seasons (fit is 2016+, test only 2023-2025; an expanding walk-forward from 2019 would triple it) before another recomposition is filed; the FIT half of the SEASON_NULL leverage mechanism (fit on NULL columns, score shipped rows) is the missing control.
Source provenance and publication scope
Owned research record: research/scientist/experiments/2026-09-25T0713Z-referee-2026-09-14T2127Z-tw-lags-offseason.json
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