Do the mandatory invariants permit a gradeable market comparison on this checkout?
Owner lane: Not recorded
Question
Do the mandatory invariants permit a gradeable market comparison on this checkout?
Prediction
The standing H8 physical-row-order invariant will fail; if it does, no new market-versus-model forecast comparison will be scored.
Finding and verdict
STOPPED: H8 VIOLATED; no market hypothesis tested
Reasoning
The mandatory premeasurement gate failed. This is a repeat of the already documented H-274/BLOCKED.md defect, not a new market effect. H-153 was returned OPEN because it concerns player volume outside this lane.
Next action
After H8 clears, bind a market measurement to issued game_bets predictions and outcomes or to executable wager and close contracts; do not infer an edge from forecast accuracy.
Source provenance and publication scope
Owned research record: research/scientist/experiments/2026-09-26T1916Z-market-h8-stop.json
This public reading view includes authored question, finding, review, reasoning and next action fields. Raw measurements, commands, logs and local paths are withheld. The record ID clock is not proof of completion or deployment.