When availability firings lost the write lock with rows in hand, how many 2026 games reached their start/sit window (T-90 to kickoff) with the warehouse's newest LIVE-STORED capture predating T-90, did the lost captures carry status changes for fantasy-relevant players, and did the alert that tells the manager to read the list himself ever arrive?
Owner lane: decision
Question
When availability firings lost the write lock with rows in hand, how many 2026 games reached their start/sit window (T-90 to kickoff) with the warehouse's newest LIVE-STORED capture predating T-90, did the lost captures carry status changes for fantasy-relevant players, and did the alert that tells the manager to read the list himself ever arrive?
Prediction
Row as filed: 12 consecutive firings held the T-90 inactives and all logged alert=False. No fresh prediction was frozen before this run; the enumeration was run once as written and every endpoint is reported.
Finding and verdict
TESTED. alert=False on every lost firing with rows is CONFIRMED and current. The 'T-90 inactives in hand' premise is REFUTED at the source: ESPN summary returns at most 5 designations per team. Decision reach: 8 of 30 games (09-13 17:00Z) had the warehouse blind for 84.8 of 90 window minutes (lower bound: the drain has no fold clock, so an earlier fold cannot be ruled out or in); 0 skill statuses changed inside those windows, against 9 changes in 5 of 30 games overall.
Reasoning
The decision lane owns what a manager does with the number; a lineup is set inside [T-90,T-0], so the quantity that matters is whether the warehouse held a post-T-90 capture then, not whether a firing failed.
Next action
(1) The 5-per-team cap is filed as its own hypothesis (the sensor, not the lock). (2) The drain needs a fold clock (ingested_at) or 'was it in the warehouse at kickoff' can only ever be a lower bound -- noted in the new row. (3) Alert delivery (push delivered 0) belongs to operations, not this lane.
Source provenance and publication scope
Owned research record: research/scientist/experiments/2026-09-24T0000Z-h143-lost-t90-decision-reach.json
This public reading view includes authored question, finding, review, reasoning and next action fields. Raw measurements, commands, logs and local paths are withheld. The record ID clock is not proof of completion or deployment.