27 Sep 2026 · 6:41 PM MTUpdated…
Accuracy, transcripts, allowance

Status

Executive reports

Each executive owns and dates their own account. The movement panel below tracks acceptance, reviewed delivery and execution evidence by source time.

Codex report

Updated Sep 27, 6:27 PM MT
15.4%Complete · 4/26 assigned
+2Recorded progress · last 6h
2 accepted · 0 reopened

5 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 22 assigned awaiting dispatch · current worker activity not verified by this tracker. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Two site defects repaired; acceptance recording is lagging delivery.

Working on
Make delivered outcomes and stalled handoffs visible, while keeping forecast correctness and audit repairs ahead of activity counts.
Why
The page kept an old report and hid independently verified repairs behind unchanged audit totals; the owner could not distinguish delivery from idle or blocked work.
Verified progress
The season-plan display now identifies the lineup gain as already included in its optimized baseline. Aaron Jones’s Yahoo projection now follows his stable player ID when Yahoo abbreviates his name; source and live screen match at 13.42. I independently checked both on the live site at 17:51 MT. Claude owns their final audit acceptance entries. Antigravity is producing scheduled evidence/review receipts, including Flash and GPT-OSS at 18:25–18:26 MT; those are research activity, not measured forecast improvements.
Next
Publish an evidence-backed movement view with recent deliveries, acceptance wait, active work freshness and blockers. Claude must record or contest the two reviewed site repairs and assign the unresolved audio-archive repair to its pipeline owner. Historical data repair awaits the quiet slate window; scheduler clock drift remains open.
Contribution to the vision
A trustworthy NFL world model requires correct user-facing numbers and a delivery loop that turns checked fixes into visible outcomes without the owner chasing each handoff.
Evidence and receipts

UX-06 / SURF-02 · bcf00a3d / a0e9c177; live /team checked 17:51 MT · CODE-1 · 86c9f8a3 / baf94fe0; DATA-01 · f303c3d2; accepted audit source a50fb08f · AGY receipts · r20260927T182524-agy-evidence-flash-d86f67 / r20260927T182615-agy-evidence-gptoss-6cfa86 · Coordination · data/coord/claude-codex.md; completion metrics retain canonical audit statuses

Claude report

Updated Sep 27, 6:13 PM MT
19.0%Complete · 4/21 assigned
+3Recorded progress · last 6h
4 accepted · 1 reopened

15 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 17 assigned awaiting dispatch · current worker activity not verified by this tracker. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Make Sean's decisions and the employees' work flow through to results he can see.

Working on
Close the 20 unresolved audit and leadership IDs Codex assigned to Claude, each to its written acceptance, while keeping the served product running.
Why
Sean approved 30 items on Friday and 12 never reached a worker because of a selection bug I introduced. Research had produced 69 findings with 0 in the served model. Activity was high and delivered value was not visible.
Verified progress
17:13-18:13: no new commits landed against any of the 20 audit-accountability.json Claude-owned ids this hour (file's own updated_at is still 13:22, unchanged). Codex independently re-verified the two previously-shipped site fixes at 17:51 MT: UX-06 (bcf00a3d) now correctly labels the 125.88 lineup comparison as already included in the 1621.22 baseline on the live /team page, and SURF-02 (a0e9c177) renders Aaron Jones Sr Yahoo 13.42 matching the delivered capture receipt — both pass Codex's review and are ready for Claude to record acceptance, not yet done. PW-93 and PW-157 remain deferred as reported at 17:13 (PW-93 needs a non-live-slate window, still not reached; PW-157's board-field update is still pending on construction.json's concurrent-lane churn). OPS-05 (nimo_batch.py:358-370 mismatched-audio deletion) has now been open since ~14:54 with no repair receipt for ~3h19m, crossing the 3-hour ask-sean.py bar this hour — filed to Sean's Decide inbox as claude-hourly-2026092718 per standing rule 5, since assignment/repair is out of scope for this headless step. Gate OPEN, chain 8/8 linked; board 237 done(+3)/12 open(-3); plan 127/127; disk free fell to 22Gi/98% (from 23Gi/98% last hour).
Next
A full Claude session should: (1) record acceptance (or contest) of Codex's now-reviewed UX-06/SURF-02 fixes (bcf00a3d, a0e9c177); (2) act on the escalated OPS-05 mismatched-audio deletion bug in nimo_batch.py:358-370 now that it is in Sean's Decide inbox; (3) commit PW-157's pending board-field update (loaded_undeclared 4→0, jobs_declared 83→87) once construction.json's concurrent-lane churn settles; (4) run PW-93's --confirm repair once tonight's slate is quiet; (5) pick up CTRL-02/CODE-6/CTRL-07/R-03 follow-through from the 14:13 report.
Contribution to the vision
A business where Sean decides and sees results. Employees are graded daily on real output, research findings reach the served product only through paired held-out tests, and negative results are kept as learning.
Evidence and receipts

PW-21 next→done claimed · 7eac8f89 · PW-22 ridge_small wired, player MAE measured · 8fa1b389 · CTRL-07/CODE-6/R-03 verdicts · c747928b · LDR-05 · a5e1580c · LDR-04 · f78d6499 · CTRL-02 · b46a4adc · UX-01/UX-05/UX-06 · ee27e8f8 · ACTUAL-3/UX-04/UX-07 · 78ba0d3d 06636402 · git-shared-tree-guard · 0ef2162b · PW-157 last 4 loaded_undeclared closed · 207a107f

Build movement

As of Sep 27 · 6:41 PM MDT

Product repairs reach the live screen, then independent review, then owner acceptance. Research becomes a model improvement only after measured release follow-up.

+5Recorded acceptance · 6h6 accepted · 1 reopened
2Reviewed fixes awaiting owner acceptanceRecheck live after six hours
—Active repairs · evidencedTask + run ID with heartbeat ≤15m; dash means unverified
12:41—
1:41—
2:416 accepted
3:41—
4:41—
5:412 reviewed

Recorded acceptanceIndependent review pending owner acceptance · Last recorded acceptance 3.8h ago · LDR-05

Delivered · awaiting acceptance

UX-06 · reviewed 50m ago

Live season plan now labels the +125.88 comparison as already included in the 1621.22 baseline.

Next: Claude records acceptance or a specific failed check.

Source: bcf00a3d; live /team; data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:51 MT
SURF-02 · reviewed 50m ago

Live Aaron Jones Sr. Yahoo projection shows 13.42, matching the delivered capture receipt by player ID.

Next: Claude records acceptance or a specific failed check.

Source: bcf00a3d; live /team; data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:51 MT

Execution evidence

No fresh bounded task and run receipt. Current audit worker execution is unverified.

Latest activity marker: build-w6 · 3m ago · unit 1 — picking an item (shard 6 of 8). A marker does not establish delivery.

21 Antigravity evidence checks · 6h

Latest completed 15m ago; 8 observations sent for manager review. These are preparation receipts, not accepted product or model gains.

Source: research/management/capacity/runs.jsonl · latest r20260927T182615-agy-evidence-gptoss-6cfa86

Waiting for action

OPS-05 · Claude · 3.8h ago

Mismatched audio archive deletion unresolved; repair executor and receipt missing.

Next: Claude assigns a bounded repair and verifies archive behavior without deleting unique material.

Reported · data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:51 and 18:13 MT
PW-157 · Claude build worker · 1.9h ago

Clock drift remains; a machine-wide UserEventAgent restart is deferred off the live slate.

Next: Recheck the drift after a safe restart window and record the board result.

Reported · 207a107f; data/coord/claude-codex.md 16:48 MT
PW-93 · Claude build worker · 1.6h ago

Historical captured_at repair proven in dry run; live-slate write deferred.

Next: Run the confirmed warehouse repair in a quiet non-live-slate window, then verify rows.

Reported · c4b1564f; data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:06 MT
Canonical audit: 8/47 verified complete; partial work remains open. Recorded acceptance is a source-verdict change, not proof of model gain. All IDs and evidence ↗ · Build plan ↗

Product and machine measures

Forecast performance

Winner accuracy

How often the issued forecast picked the winning team.

Full scorecard
Live · 2026
71.4%
▼ 1.9 pts 7d
28 games · as issued
Held-out · 2024–25
56.1%
· 0.0 since Sep 22
544 games · backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023)
Live − backtest +15.4 ptsDifferent seasons and sample sizes; this difference is not a model improvement.

Served v1.0 (fit ≤2025), v1.0.1-availability (fit ≤2025), as issued before kickoff · from wk 2

Measured vs live

Forecast quality

Winner ↑ · error ↓
measuredactualgap
Winner correctn 28
56.1%· 0.0 since Sep 22
71.4%▼ 1.9 7d
+15.4
Marginn 28
96.7%· 0.0 since Sep 22
95.5%▼ 0.3 7d
−1.2
Totaln 28
23.3%· 0.0 since Sep 22
26.8%▲ 0.9 7d
+3.5
Team pointsn 56
33.6%· 0.0 since Sep 22
39.4%▼ 2.3 7d
+5.7
Pass yardsn 52
24.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
19.5%▲ 2.0 7d
−5.4
Rush yardsn 52
32.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
33.0%▲ 2.7 7d
+0.2
Fantasy pointsn 584
55.8%· 0.0 since Sep 22
63.1%▼ 2.1 7d
+7.3

Winner = % correct. Other rows: %error = mean |pred − actual| ÷ mean |actual|. Held-out: 2024–25 (fit ≤2023). Live: 2026 as issued. Read Sep 27 · 6:41 PM MT.

With vs without

Feature contribution

Green helps
B hypB liveQ hypQ live
Winner correct
0.0
+2.3
0.0
+2.3
Margin
+0.2
+0.3
+0.2
+0.2
Total
−0.1
+0.1
−0.1
+0.2
Team points
0.0
0.0
0.0
+0.2
Pass yards
−0.1
0.0
−0.1
0.0
Rush yards
0.0
−0.1
0.0
+0.1
Fantasy points
0.0
−1.5
+0.1
+0.3

B = coaching decisions; Q = injury-report text. Test = backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023); live = 2026 wk 1–3 refits. News claims are withheld.

Podcast transcripts

T183,768 episodes
downloaded29,483 · 35%
transcribed1,819 · 2.2%
+458 24h · pace 458/day · done Mar 25, 2027
T2164,222 episodes
downloaded3,211 · 2%
transcribed657 · 0.4%
+0 24h · pace 458/day · done Mar 16, 2028
T3227,173 episodes
downloaded3,343 · 1%
transcribed1,999 · 0.9%
+0 24h · pace 458/day · done Jul 21, 2029

Pace = all tiers, last 24 h. Worked T1, then T2, then T3. Counts Sun Sep 27 6:40 PM MDT.

Research

Findings and adoption

69findings
6adopted
0live in served
26in review
See findings
In served v1.0hypactual
CARD · served v1.0.1-availability-20260926 (certified)
held-out MAE 3.54 [3.47, 3.62] (2024-25, all rostered)
live: 0 settled yet, 6,723 pending; replay 21,264/21,264 exact; 2026-09-27
CP-H49 · trailing windows include last game
−0.352 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H65 · stop pricing all weeks on wk-1 market
−0.063 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H199 · kalman share leak removed
+0.040 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H6 · order-independent room sums
−0.006 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H43 · pass attempts weighted to recent
−0.071 att MAE
no live A/B
CP-H47 · DEF events from implied total
−0.178 DEF MAE
no live A/B
Adopted findings · live shadow vs servedhypactual
B13 · draft capital on thin history
+0.048 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.046 MAE, 136 rows, 3 wk [−0.296,+0.011]; backtest −0.011 · not promoted
B41 · draft + contract on thin history
+0.059 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.031 MAE, 136 rows, 3 wk [−0.210,+0.016]; backtest −0.030 · not promoted
Q-13 · Saturday attention → availability
−0.0030 Brier (P(play))
live shadow scores from week 4; backtest +0.0029 · not promoted
Q-14 · fame adds nothing (a null)
null: −0.005 pts, floor not cleared
nothing to serve
Q-19 · expert file leaks availability (control)
control passed: −0.020 Brier = contaminated
not servable: leak
XD-S07 · empirical null for the batteries
method: null sd 2.22 vs 1.00
not a model feature
H-030 · receiving shares: Poisson + attempts weight (O3 cycle)
−0.0242 FP MAE (D-212, 2025 only)
gain +0.053 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.022,+0.130]; backtest +0.008 · not promoted
R-02 · promoted feature lf_garbage_time_clock_kill_l3 through the served training path
playgrain loop: +0.000568 log-loss delta (play grain, not FP)
gain +0.048 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.016,+0.116]; backtest −0.003 · not promoted

Σ hyp −0.38 FP MAE (4 rows) · Σ actual no live A/B

Hypotheses: docs/hypotheses.json · review incl. 9 L-07 · fixes: CHANGES-PROPOSED.md

Capacity

Weekly model allowance

Account-wide · projected from the last 24h
Claude35% remainingProjected out Sep 29 · ~3 PM MTRead Sep 27 · 6:35 PM MTHow estimated

19 quota points used over 23.9h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 8:59 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide allowance; includes work outside Playerweek.

Codex51% remainingProjected out Sep 29 · ~4 PM MTRead Sep 27 · 6:41 PM MTHow estimated

27 quota points used over 24.0h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 3 · 12:15 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide Codex allowance. Direct account-status read; no model request.

Antigravity · Gemini models79% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 27 · 6:41 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 7:29 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 59

Shared by Gemini Flash and Pro in Antigravity. Local scheduled starts also have a 15-minute cooldown. Gemini app/web usage is unknown here.

Antigravity · Claude and GPT models92.3% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 27 · 6:41 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 11:19 PM MT.

Shared by Claude Opus, Claude Sonnet and GPT-OSS in Antigravity; separate from Claude Code and Codex.