Codex accountability
61.5%Complete · 16/26 assigned
+0Recorded progress · last 6h
0 accepted · 0 reopened
0 accepted · 0 reopened
10 partial · 5 queued for dispatch · 0 awaiting dispatch · 0 self-reported task/run markers · All 47 IDs and evidence ↗
Accuracy, transcripts, allowance
Status
Accountability
Claude accountability
71.4%Complete · 15/21 assigned
+4Recorded progress · last 6h
4 accepted · 0 reopened
4 accepted · 0 reopened
6 partial · 5 queued for dispatch · 0 awaiting dispatch · 0 self-reported task/run markers · All 47 IDs and evidence ↗
Live audit queue: 0 claimed · 0 submitted · 2 escalated (MODEL-01, OPS-01). Last claim 7:23 PM MT (9m old); last independent review 7:31 PM MT (1m old). Reviewer installed; 13/13 routes (source 7:30 PM MT (2m old)). Gate CLOSED or unchecked (7:31 PM MT (1m old)); sources all fresh (7:29 PM MT (3m old)). These runtime receipts do not change source verified completion.
Build movement
As of Sep 29 · 7:33 PM MDTProduct repairs reach the live screen, then independent review, then owner acceptance. Research becomes a model improvement only after measured release follow-up.
+4Recorded acceptance · 6h4 accepted · 0 reopened
0Reviewed fixes awaiting owner acceptanceRecheck live after six hours
—Active repairs · evidencedTask + run ID with heartbeat ≤15m; dash means unverified
1:33—
2:33—
3:33—
4:333 accepted
5:331 accepted
6:33—
Recorded acceptanceIndependent review pending owner acceptance · Last recorded acceptance 1.6h ago · R-03
Delivered · awaiting acceptance
No current reviewed delivery receipt is awaiting owner acceptance.
Execution evidence
No fresh bounded task and run receipt. Current audit worker execution is unverified.
18 Antigravity evidence checks · 6h
Latest completed 4m ago; 11 observations sent for manager review. These are preparation receipts, not accepted product or model gains.
Source: research/management/capacity/runs.jsonl · latest r20260929T192819-agy-evidence-gptoss-0ba13dWaiting for action
OPS-05 · Claude · 52.7h ago
Mismatched audio archive deletion unresolved; repair executor and receipt missing.
Next: Claude assigns a bounded repair and verifies archive behavior without deleting unique material.
Recheck overdue · data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:51 and 18:13 MTCanonical audit: 31/47 verified complete; partial work remains open. Recorded acceptance is a source-verdict change, not proof of model gain. All IDs and evidence ↗ · Build plan ↗
Build movement
Audit findings + leadership packagesPriority and accepted progress
Prioritized audit · 40 findings
P0 · immediate operational or promotion threat1/2 accepted · 0 queued
P1 · current product correctness, recoverability or autonomous control15/27 accepted · 7 queued
P2 · important completeness/usability/resilience10/10 accepted · 0 queued
P3 · lower-impact or unverified observation1/1 accepted · 0 queued
10 queued across all 47 packages; current worker execution is unverified here. Priority shows the audit backlog, not which tasks workers are doing.
Accepted across all 47 packages
31of 47 verified complete
31 accepted16 partial0 other unresolved
Partial work remains open until its acceptance evidence is verified.
Product and machine measures
Forecast performance
Full scorecard Winner accuracy
How often the issued forecast picked the winning team.
Live · 2026
71.9%
▼ 3.1 pts 7d
32 games · as issued
Held-out · 2024–25
57.4%
▲ 1.3 pts 7d
544 games · backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023)
Live − backtest +14.5 ptsDifferent seasons and sample sizes; this difference is not a model improvement.
Served v1.0 (fit ≤2025), v1.0.1-availability (fit ≤2025), as issued before kickoff · from wk 2
Exactly what the live numbers score
- 32 games (winner, margin, total) = Wk 2: 16 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 1 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 15 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
- 760 player-week rows (fantasy points) = Wk 2: 363 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 39 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 358 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
- Selection: per 2026 game and player-week: the last COMPLETE forecast-refresh run produced before that kickoff; truth: final game score, and player_week_g fantasy points (a player-week with no points row is not scored).
- The separate served-release card (
research/served_scorecard/v1.0.1-availability-20260926.json) scores a different selection, per team-game: latest VERIFIED_ACTIVATED generation activated strictly before kickoff, and scores a player who did not play in a final game as 0: v1.0-20260916 562 settled rows, weeks 2, 3 (not certified); v1.0.1-availability-20260926 423 settled rows, week 3 (certified). - Why these are not the consumer S / SB / SQ / SBQ accuracy cards: the served forecast is one pooled SBQ fit, so no served S, SB or SQ rows exist; these live figures mix two frozen releases rather than one release at one cutoff; and they are not yet bound to the per-grain frozen-forecast records those cards require. The arm ablation below is a refit, not the served product.
Measured vs live
Winner ↑ · error ↓Forecast quality
measuredactualgap
Winner correctn 32
57.4%▲ 1.3 7d
71.9%▼ 3.1 7d
+14.5
Marginn 32
97.4%▲ 0.7 7d
96.2%▲ 2.7 7d
−1.2
Totaln 32
23.2%▼ 0.1 7d
25.8%▼ 0.7 7d
+2.7
Team pointsn 64
33.7%· 0.0 7d
37.6%▼ 4.4 7d
+4.0
Pass yardsn 64
24.9%· 0.0 7d
19.9%▲ 1.5 7d
−5.1
Rush yardsn 64
34.0%▲ 1.2 7d
30.8%▼ 0.7 7d
−3.3
Fantasy pointsn 760
55.8%· 0.0 7d
63.0%▼ 3.4 7d
+7.2
Winner = % correct. Other rows: %error = mean |pred − actual| ÷ mean |actual|. Held-out: 2024–25 (fit ≤2023). Live: 2026 as issued. Read Sep 29 · 7:32 PM MT.
With vs without
Green helpsFeature contribution
B hypB liveQ hypQ live
Winner correct
+0.9
0.0
+0.2
0.0
Margin
+0.2
+0.2
+0.3
+0.3
Total
0.0
+0.1
−0.1
+0.2
Team points
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Pass yards
−0.1
0.0
−0.3
0.0
Rush yards
+0.1
−0.1
0.0
−0.2
Fantasy points
+0.1
−1.5
+0.1
+0.2
B = coaching decisions; Q = injury-report text. Test = backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023); live = 2026 wk 1–3 refits. News claims are withheld.
Podcast tracker
Selected current shows: 48 · 48 indexed · 1,052 indexed shows excluded (outside selected current roster). Eligible episodes: 35,070 across T0–T2. T0 begins 2026-09-01; earlier dates use historical tiers. Historical offseason excluded: 32,037. Reviewed 2026-09-28T20:17:01.783727Z; review due 2026-10-12.
Top 20 fantasy-football shows from the US Apple Fantasy Sports chart (updated 2026-09-28T13:15:01-07:00, checked 2026-09-28T20:17:01.783727Z): 20/20 RSS indexes captured; 0/20 recent RSS metadata; 20/20 have T0–T2 episodes. Mac queue receipt 2026-09-30T01:17:22.475880+00:00.
Retained shows and selection evidence
- The Athletic Football Show: A show about the NFL · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 3114 · Deep tactical and roster analysis across the league.
- NFL Daily with Gregg Rosenthal · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 8195 · NFL Media reporting, news reaction, and all-league game coverage.
- The Ringer NFL Show · indexed · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 4448 · High-reach weekly interpretation and team/storyline context.
- The Mina Kimes Show featuring Lenny · indexed · latest 2026-09-24 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 6798 · Distinct film-led and scheme-focused analysis.
- Yahoo Sports NFL · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1170 · National reporting and immediate game reaction from Yahoo Sports.
- Ross Tucker Football Podcast: Daily NFL Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2131 · Former-player perspective and daily game analysis.
- Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp · indexed · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 202 · Matchup, strategy, and betting-oriented analysis; lower rating count accepted for distinct quantitative focus.
- The PFF NFL Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1626 · Player-grading and matchup analysis from a separate data provider.
- Fantasy #3 · Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 1,969 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:21.596757+00:00 · eligible 1,113 · Mac queue 1,113 · confirmed audio 209 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 29640 · Leading audience proxy and broad start/sit, injury, and waiver coverage.
- Fantasy #4 · FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 2,392 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:22.730163+00:00 · eligible 1,371 · Mac queue 1,371 · confirmed audio 334 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 10659 · Expert consensus and actionable weekly waiver/ranking coverage.
- Fantasy #1 · Fantasy Football Today · indexed · RSS 3,053 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:20.711251+00:00 · eligible 1,663 · Mac queue 1,663 · confirmed audio 281 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 8106 · Long-running CBS fantasy news and game-by-game reaction.
- Fantasy Focus Football · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 13453 · Large established audience and ESPN fantasy reaction.
- Fantasy #2 · The Ringer Fantasy Football Show · indexed · RSS 833 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:21.231036+00:00 · eligible 502 · Mac queue 502 · confirmed audio 124 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1741 · Distinct Ringer fantasy slate discussion and recaps.
- Fantasy #5 · Yahoo Fantasy Forecast with Matt Harmon · indexed · RSS 1,185 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:23.108664+00:00 · eligible 695 · Mac queue 695 · confirmed audio 175 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 794 · Matt Harmon receiver/usage analysis and Yahoo fantasy reporting.
- Fantasy #17 · Establish The Run Fantasy Football · indexed · RSS 1,011 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:32.046909+00:00 · eligible 499 · Mac queue 499 · confirmed audio 33 · latest 2026-09-24 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1502 · Projection-driven player valuation and rest-of-season analysis.
- Fantasy #8 · The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 1,338 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:25.033689+00:00 · eligible 747 · Mac queue 747 · confirmed audio 243 · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 3154 · JJ Zachariason’s compact, process-based fantasy analysis.
- Fantasy #14 · Rotoworld Football Show – Fantasy Football · indexed · RSS 1,389 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:30.954035+00:00 · eligible 829 · Mac queue 829 · confirmed audio 166 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1198 · Rotoworld player news and game-by-game fantasy interpretation.
- Fantasy #18 · Dynasty Nerds Podcast | Dynasty Fantasy Football · indexed · RSS 938 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:32.465015+00:00 · eligible 432 · Mac queue 432 · confirmed audio 42 · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2047 · Dynasty-specific player trade and long-horizon valuation.
- The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1411 · NFL lines, contest discussion, and betting market context.
- Even Money: NFL Betting Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-24 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 666 · NFL betting and prop perspective from Ross Tucker and Steve Fezzik.
- The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng · indexed · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 154 · Independent quantitative football analysis; specialist exception to a high rating-count threshold.
- 49ers Talk: A San Francisco 49ers Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1012 · Established 49ers beat and postgame coverage.
- PHLY Philadelphia Eagles Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 587 · Frequent Eagles beat reporting and game previews.
- Talkin’ Giants (Giants Podcast) · indexed · latest 2026-09-27 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2407 · Strong team-audience proxy and detailed Giants postgame analysis.
- Purple Daily | a Minnesota Vikings podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1450 · Vikings-specific reporting and reaction with a strong team-audience proxy.
- Pack-A-Day: Your Daily Packers Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 894 · Packers-specific daily analysis and roster context.
- Shout! A football podcast on the Buffalo Bills with Matt Parrino and Ryan Talbot · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 255 · Bills beat reporting; chosen over a second Bills live-talk feed to limit duplication.
- Browns Film Breakdown · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 529 · Browns film study adds team-level tactical detail.
- The Vault: A Podcast Covering the Baltimore Ravens · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 347 · Dedicated Ravens reporting and local postgame context.
- DolphinsTalk.com Daily Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-27 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 551 · Dolphins beat and postgame reaction.
- The Detroit Lions Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 522 · Independent Lions game reaction and team context.
- KC Sports Network: Kansas City Chiefs Podcasts · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 523 · Chiefs-focused reporting and analysis with established team audience.
- Guilty As Charged: An LA Chargers Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 280 · Chargers film and postgame perspective.
- Daily Seahawks Podcast: HB Mornings & Real Hawk Talk · indexed · latest 2026-09-27 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 757 · Seahawks-specific live reaction and game analysis.
- Locked On Steelers – Daily Podcast On The Pittsburgh Steelers · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 734 · Selected single Steelers daily for recent activity and strong team audience.
- Play Like A Jet: New York Jets · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 617 · Established Jets-specific reporting and game reaction.
- Locked On Broncos - Daily Podcast On The Denver Broncos · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 457 · Selected single Broncos daily for recent activity and established team audience.
- Fantasy #6 · Yahoo Fantasy Football with Josh & Hayden · indexed · RSS 1,051 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:23.365787+00:00 · eligible 490 · Mac queue 490 · confirmed audio 105 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 808 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Yahoo hosts offer distinct waiver and player discussion.
- Fantasy #7 · Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry · indexed · RSS 43 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:24.682847+00:00 · eligible 19 · Mac queue 19 · confirmed audio 19 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 852 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Matthew Berry’s established fantasy coverage.
- Fantasy #9 · The Audible · indexed · RSS 65 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:25.751407+00:00 · eligible 36 · Mac queue 36 · confirmed audio 36 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1867 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Footballguys analysis and start/sit coverage.
- Fantasy #10 · Pat Mayo Experience · indexed · RSS 2,287 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:26.147422+00:00 · eligible 1,165 · Mac queue 1,165 · confirmed audio 193 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 5242 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; recurring NFL fantasy and DFS episodes share a mixed golf/NFL feed.
- Fantasy #11 · Fantasy Football Today Beyond the Box Score · indexed · RSS 1,630 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:29.547492+00:00 · eligible 839 · Mac queue 839 · confirmed audio 144 · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 754 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; CBS analytical fantasy extension.
- Fantasy #12 · Fantasy Football World · indexed · RSS 30 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:29.761011+00:00 · eligible 17 · Mac queue 17 · confirmed audio 17 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 597 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; recent active fantasy-football coverage despite a short episode history.
- Fantasy #13 · Harris Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 106 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:30.566348+00:00 · eligible 72 · Mac queue 72 · confirmed audio 27 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 3760 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; film-informed player evaluation.
- Fantasy #15 · Fantasy Footballers DFS & Betting - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 433 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:31.206301+00:00 · eligible 298 · Mac queue 298 · confirmed audio 196 · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2028 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; DFS and betting focus of the Footballers network.
- Fantasy #16 · RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger · indexed · RSS 2,017 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:31.570499+00:00 · eligible 1,191 · Mac queue 1,191 · confirmed audio 291 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 302 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; RotoWire fantasy player and market analysis.
- Fantasy #19 · Fantasy Footballers Dynasty - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 181 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:32.651130+00:00 · eligible 77 · Mac queue 77 · confirmed audio 4 · latest 2026-09-23 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1086 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; dynasty specialization of the Footballers network.
- Fantasy #20 · Fantasy Football Daily with Brett and Scott · indexed · RSS 1,209 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:33.062143+00:00 · eligible 621 · Mac queue 621 · confirmed audio 133 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 152 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Fantasy Points player analysis under the current Brett and Scott title.
T01,030 episodes · 48 feedsSince September 1 · all publication days
Open to load feeds.
T15,985 episodes · 44 feedsHistorical in-season · Friday published
Open to load feeds.
T228,055 episodes · 45 feedsHistorical in-season · other days
Open to load feeds.
Indexed 2026-09-30T01:32:24.272479+00:00 · 35,070 eligible episodes · 537,445 known indexed identities (470,334 outside roster; 32,037 historical offseason excluded; 4 duplicate aliases). Nimo inventory 2026-09-30T01:30:04+00:00 · T0 tier policy active · T0 1,030 at 2026-09-30T01:30:00+00:00 · Selection feeder adopted. Bars count confirmed audio/transcript receipts; absent remote items are unknown when the Nimo inventory is stale. Friday describes publication priority, not download timing.
ResearchFindings and adoption
69findings6adopted0live in served30in reviewSee findings
Findings and adoption
69findings
6adopted
0live in served
30in review
In served v1.0hypactual
CARD · served v1.0.1-availability-20260926 (certified)
held-out MAE 3.54 [3.47, 3.62] (2024-25, all rostered)
live MAE 3.70 [3.32, 4.09], 423 settled (wk 3, row CI); rookie prior MAE 9.63 (2 settled); K/DEF MAE 5.91 (20 settled); 6,636 rows pending; replay 21,264/21,264 exact + 1,135/1,135 K/DEF+rookie; graded 2026-09-29 08:43 MT
CP-H49 · trailing windows include last game
−0.352 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H65 · stop pricing all weeks on wk-1 market
−0.063 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H199 · kalman share leak removed
+0.040 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H6 · order-independent room sums
−0.006 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H43 · pass attempts weighted to recent
−0.071 att MAE
no live A/B
CP-H47 · DEF events from implied total
−0.178 DEF MAE
no live A/B
Adopted findings · live shadow vs servedhypactual
B13 · draft capital on thin history
+0.048 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.031 MAE, 174 rows, 3 wk [−0.096,+0.008]; backtest −0.011 · not promoted
B41 · draft + contract on thin history
+0.059 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.025 MAE, 174 rows, 3 wk [−0.074,+0.012]; backtest −0.030 · not promoted
Q-13 · Saturday attention → availability
−0.0030 Brier (P(play))
live shadow scores from week 4; backtest +0.0029 · not promoted
Q-14 · fame adds nothing (a null)
null: −0.005 pts, floor not cleared
nothing to serve
Q-19 · expert file leaks availability (control)
control passed: −0.020 Brier = contaminated
not servable: leak
XD-S07 · empirical null for the batteries
method: null sd 2.22 vs 1.00
not a model feature
R-02 · promoted feature lf_garbage_time_clock_kill_l3 through the served training path
playgrain loop: +0.000568 log-loss delta (play grain, not FP)
gain +0.048 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.016,+0.116]; backtest −0.003 · not promoted
H-030 · receiving shares: Poisson + attempts weight (O3 cycle)
−0.0242 FP MAE (D-212, 2025 only)
gain +0.034 MAE, 666 rows, 2 wk [−0.030,+0.104]; backtest +0.008 · not promoted
Σ hyp −0.38 FP MAE (4 rows) · Σ actual no live A/B
Hypotheses: docs/hypotheses.json · review incl. 13 L-07 · fixes: CHANGES-PROPOSED.md
Capacity
Account-wide · projected from the last 24hWeekly model allowance
Claude7% remainingHow estimated
18 quota points used over 23.2h within the last 24h; pace may change.
Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 9:00 PM MT.
Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0
Account-wide allowance; includes work outside Playerweek.
Codex75% remainingHow estimated
25 quota points used over 2.6h within the last 24h; pace may change.
Weekly allowance resets Oct 6 · 4:56 PM MT.
Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 15
gpt-6-sol: 19 completed runs · 47,855,518 recorded tokens in 24h
Account-wide Codex allowance. Direct account-status read; no model request.
Antigravity · Gemini models70.1% remainingHow estimated
0.865 quota points used over 1.3h within the last 24h; pace may change.
Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 7:29 PM MT.
Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 103
Shared by Gemini Flash and Pro in Antigravity. Local scheduled starts also have a 15-minute cooldown. Gemini app/web usage is unknown here.
Antigravity · Claude and GPT models58% remainingHow estimated
0.5807 quota points used over 1.2h within the last 24h; pace may change.
Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 11:19 PM MT.
Shared by Claude Opus, Claude Sonnet and GPT-OSS in Antigravity; separate from Claude Code and Codex.