27 Sep 2026 · 4:34 PM MTUpdated…
Accuracy, transcripts, allowance

Status

Executive reports

Each executive owns and dates their own account. Worker markers and executive follow-up appear below with their own source times.

Codex report

Updated Sep 27, 4:01 PM MT
15.4%Complete · 4/26 assigned
+2Recorded progress · last 6h
2 accepted · 0 reopened

5 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 22 assigned awaiting dispatch · current worker activity not verified by this tracker. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Keep the useful machine operating while closing the audit gaps.

Working on
Use included Antigravity capacity for evidence preparation and review while keeping the remaining audit repairs accountable and the live product operating.
Why
A completed queue receipt is useful only when the original acceptance check passes and the public accountability source records that result.
Verified progress
CODE-1 promotion quality enforcement and DATA-01 historical cutoff enforcement passed independent acceptance. The audit records now show 4 of my 26 packages complete. Gemini Flash, Antigravity Sonnet and GPT-OSS each produced a pilot receipt; the recurring 15-minute dispatcher is loaded but its first scheduled run is still pending. The current gate is open with 81 healthy watched lanes.
Next
Verify the first scheduled Antigravity outputs and their consumer disposition. Keep the reported season-plan arithmetic, mismatched-audio archive and Yahoo parity issues open until corrected evidence arrives. PW-21/PW-22 board closure discrepancies were returned for scoped reconciliation.
Contribution to the vision
Use the included model capacity for useful preparation while requiring evidence before calling a repair complete; this supports a trustworthy NFL world model with fewer owner interventions.
Evidence and receipts

CODE-1 · 86c9f8a3 / baf94fe0 / 550ddf80 · DATA-01 · f303c3d2 / 550ddf80 · OPS-07 · d83d4787; UX-01 · ee27e8f8; UX-07 · 06636402 · MODEL-03 / MODEL-04 / R-02 · 7549c7d7; CTRL-02 · b46a4adc; LDR-05 · a5e1580c · Canonical source · ops/audits/self-healing-2026-09-26/prioritized-findings.json; Codex independent acceptance 2026-09-27 14:54 MT

Claude report

Updated Sep 27, 4:14 PM MT
19.0%Complete · 4/21 assigned
+3Recorded progress · last 6h
4 accepted · 1 reopened

15 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 17 assigned awaiting dispatch · current worker activity not verified by this tracker. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Make Sean's decisions and the employees' work flow through to results he can see.

Working on
Close the 20 unresolved audit and leadership IDs Codex assigned to Claude, each to its written acceptance, while keeping the served product running.
Why
Sean approved 30 items on Friday and 12 never reached a worker because of a selection bug I introduced. Research had produced 69 findings with 0 in the served model. Activity was high and delivered value was not visible.
Verified progress
15:14-16:14: no new commits against Claude-owned audit-accountability.json entries (file itself still last changed 13:22). Re-checked the PW-21/PW-22 construction.json discrepancy this and the prior hourly line both flagged (board claimed done via 7eac8f89/8fa1b389 while the file still read "next"): as of 16:13 it is no longer reproducible — working tree and HEAD both show PW-21 state done and PW-22 state next with its own grind in progress (2 of 7 walk-forward seasons banked, docs/evidence/PW-22-2026-09-27a.json), which is a real, still-open measurement, not a stuck closure. Board moved 230/19 → 234 done(+4)/15 open(-4) per bin/progress.py. Gate flipped CLOSED (15:13) back to OPEN by 16:13 per bin/gate.py; plan holds at 127/127; disk free 30Gi/97% (down from 31Gi). Codex's 16:01 channel line asks Claude to acknowledge and assign follow-through on UX-06/OPS-05/SURF-02 and reconcile PW-21/PW-22 receipts — logged to data/coord/claude-codex.md marked NEEDS CLAUDE SESSION; no assignment made from this headless check.
Next
A full Claude session should: (1) act on Codex's 16:01 ask — acknowledge and assign follow-through on the still-pending UX-06 arithmetic, OPS-05 mismatched-audio deletion and SURF-02 parity items; (2) let PW-22's grind finish its remaining 5 of 7 seasons before judging whether ridge_small's pooled +0.0043 [-0.0036,+0.0126] player-MAE gain clears zero; (3) pick up CTRL-02/CODE-6/CTRL-07/R-03 follow-through from the 14:13 report.
Contribution to the vision
A business where Sean decides and sees results. Employees are graded daily on real output, research findings reach the served product only through paired held-out tests, and negative results are kept as learning.
Evidence and receipts

PW-21 next→done claimed · 7eac8f89 · PW-22 ridge_small wired, player MAE measured · 8fa1b389 · CTRL-07/CODE-6/R-03 verdicts · c747928b · LDR-05 · a5e1580c · LDR-04 · f78d6499 · CTRL-02 · b46a4adc · UX-01/UX-05/UX-06 · ee27e8f8 · ACTUAL-3/UX-04/UX-07 · 78ba0d3d 06636402 · git-shared-tree-guard · 0ef2162b

Build movement

Priority and accepted progress

Audit findings + leadership packages

Prioritized audit · 40 findings

P0 · immediate operational or promotion threat1/2 accepted · 0 queued
P1 · current product correctness, recoverability or autonomous control3/27 accepted · 0 queued
P2 · important completeness/usability/resilience1/10 accepted · 0 queued
P3 · lower-impact or unverified observation1/1 accepted · 0 queued

0 queued across all 47 packages; current worker execution is unverified here. Priority shows the audit backlog, not which tasks workers are doing.

Accepted across all 47 packages

8of 47 verified complete
8 accepted20 partial19 other unresolved

Partial work remains open until its acceptance evidence is verified.

Recent machine activity

Marker snapshot · Sun 16:34 MDT

Workers wrote these task markers in the last 15 minutes. A marker shows activity, not a completed result. See job outcomes and schedules · Audit repairs.

ExecutorReported workMarker time
build-w5unit 3 — picking an item (shard 5 of 8)16:26 MT
build-w6PW-94: closing a --staged/--worktree restore bypass in git-shared-tree-guard.py16:33 MT

Executive follow-up

Executive reported · as of Sep 27, 12:24 PM MT

Queued · 2

Close remaining audit repairsAccountable: Codex executive
Executor: A worker must claim each bounded repair before it is shown as running

A finding without an executing repair leaves the product incomplete.

Next: Tie each accepted defect to a consumable queue entry, worker receipt and live check.

Evidence: ops/audits/PRIORITIZED-AUDIT-CURRENT.md; AGENTS.md rule 10
Complete management coverage and calibrationAccountable: Claude executive
Executor: No current worker witness established

The first review graded 13 employees, but four registry entries remain unwired and real grades still need calibration.

Next: Cover the remaining employees and compare grades against real defects and downstream improvement.

Evidence: LDR-03/04/05 independent acceptance, coordination log 11:55 MT

Verified · 4

Cold report offloadAccountable: Codex executive
Executor: Codex storage delegate · completed

113 reports archived and hash verified in Drive; one pilot restored after eviction. Observed local relief: 49.973 GiB.

Evidence: 5ff6dd54; coordination log 12:05 MT
Current Week 4 forecast sourceAccountable: Codex executive
Executor: Codex availability delegate · completed

Current modeled inputs use 2026 Weeks 1–3; no 2025 modeled source or current repair indicated.

Evidence: coordination log 11:55 MT
First management and junior review cycleAccountable: Claude executive; Codex acceptance
Executor: Claude delivery team · completed

13 portfolios graded; one 899-byte coaching card consumed; H-194 WAITING corrected live. Coverage and calibration are queued above.

Evidence: e5a68376, 4227eb21, 76b7ba62; coordination log 11:55 MT
H-030 forecast candidateAccountable: Claude executive
Executor: Claude O3 delivery · completed

Rejected after the held-out interval included zero; the served forecast stayed unchanged.

Evidence: research/o3/h030-decision.json; 6e081c56

Product and machine measures

Forecast performance

Winner accuracy

How often the issued forecast picked the winning team.

Full scorecard
Live · 2026
69.2%
▼ 4.1 pts 7d
26 games · as issued
Held-out · 2024–25
56.1%
· 0.0 since Sep 22
544 games · backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023)
Live − backtest +13.2 ptsDifferent seasons and sample sizes; this difference is not a model improvement.

Served v1.0 (fit ≤2025), v1.0.1-availability (fit ≤2025), as issued before kickoff · from wk 2

Measured vs live

Forecast quality

Winner ↑ · error ↓
measuredactualgap
Winner correctn 26
56.1%· 0.0 since Sep 22
69.2%▼ 4.1 7d
+13.2
Marginn 26
96.7%· 0.0 since Sep 22
97.1%▲ 1.3 7d
+0.4
Totaln 26
23.3%· 0.0 since Sep 22
26.6%▲ 0.7 7d
+3.3
Team pointsn 52
33.6%· 0.0 since Sep 22
40.4%▼ 1.3 7d
+6.8
Pass yardsn 52
24.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
19.5%▲ 2.0 7d
−5.4
Rush yardsn 52
32.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
33.0%▲ 2.7 7d
+0.2
Fantasy pointsn 584
55.8%· 0.0 since Sep 22
63.1%▼ 2.1 7d
+7.3

Winner = % correct. Other rows: %error = mean |pred − actual| ÷ mean |actual|. Held-out: 2024–25 (fit ≤2023). Live: 2026 as issued. Read Sep 27 · 4:34 PM MT.

With vs without

Feature contribution

Green helps
B hypB liveQ hypQ live
Winner correct
0.0
+2.4
0.0
+2.4
Margin
+0.2
+0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Total
−0.1
0.0
−0.1
+0.2
Team points
0.0
−0.1
0.0
+0.1
Pass yards
−0.1
0.0
−0.1
0.0
Rush yards
0.0
−0.1
0.0
+0.1
Fantasy points
0.0
−1.5
+0.1
+0.3

B = coaching decisions; Q = injury-report text. Test = backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023); live = 2026 wk 1–3 refits. News claims are withheld.

Podcast transcripts

T183,768 episodes
downloaded26,113 · 31%
transcribed1,775 · 2.1%
+450 24h · pace 450/day · done Mar 28, 2027
T2164,222 episodes
downloaded3,211 · 2%
transcribed657 · 0.4%
+0 24h · pace 450/day · done Mar 26, 2028
T3227,173 episodes
downloaded3,343 · 1%
transcribed1,999 · 0.9%
+0 24h · pace 450/day · done Aug 8, 2029

Pace = all tiers, last 24 h. Worked T1, then T2, then T3. Counts Sun Sep 27 4:32 PM MDT.

Research

Findings and adoption

69findings
6adopted
0live in served
26in review
See findings
In served v1.0hypactual
CARD · served v1.0.1-availability-20260926 (certified)
held-out MAE 3.54 [3.47, 3.62] (2024-25, all rostered)
live: 0 settled yet, 6,723 pending; replay 21,264/21,264 exact; 2026-09-27
CP-H49 · trailing windows include last game
−0.352 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H65 · stop pricing all weeks on wk-1 market
−0.063 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H199 · kalman share leak removed
+0.040 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H6 · order-independent room sums
−0.006 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H43 · pass attempts weighted to recent
−0.071 att MAE
no live A/B
CP-H47 · DEF events from implied total
−0.178 DEF MAE
no live A/B
Adopted findings · live shadow vs servedhypactual
B13 · draft capital on thin history
+0.048 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.046 MAE, 136 rows, 3 wk [−0.296,+0.011]; backtest −0.011 · not promoted
B41 · draft + contract on thin history
+0.059 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.031 MAE, 136 rows, 3 wk [−0.210,+0.016]; backtest −0.030 · not promoted
Q-13 · Saturday attention → availability
−0.0030 Brier (P(play))
live shadow scores from week 4; backtest +0.0029 · not promoted
Q-14 · fame adds nothing (a null)
null: −0.005 pts, floor not cleared
nothing to serve
Q-19 · expert file leaks availability (control)
control passed: −0.020 Brier = contaminated
not servable: leak
XD-S07 · empirical null for the batteries
method: null sd 2.22 vs 1.00
not a model feature
H-030 · receiving shares: Poisson + attempts weight (O3 cycle)
−0.0242 FP MAE (D-212, 2025 only)
gain +0.053 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.022,+0.130]; backtest +0.008 · not promoted
R-02 · promoted feature lf_garbage_time_clock_kill_l3 through the served training path
playgrain loop: +0.000568 log-loss delta (play grain, not FP)
gain +0.048 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.016,+0.116]; backtest −0.003 · not promoted

Σ hyp −0.38 FP MAE (4 rows) · Σ actual no live A/B

Hypotheses: docs/hypotheses.json · review incl. 9 L-07 · fixes: CHANGES-PROPOSED.md

Capacity

Weekly model allowance

Account-wide · projected from the last 24h
Claude37% remainingProjected out Sep 29 · ~5 PM MTRead Sep 27 · 4:26 PM MTHow estimated

18 quota points used over 23.8h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 9:00 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide allowance; includes work outside Playerweek.

Codex54% remainingProjected out Sep 29 · ~5 AM MTRead Sep 27 · 4:34 PM MTHow estimated

36 quota points used over 24.0h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 3 · 12:15 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide Codex allowance. Direct account-status read; no model request.

Antigravity · Gemini models81.5% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 27 · 4:34 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 7:29 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 37

Shared by Gemini Flash and Pro in Antigravity. Local scheduled starts also have a 15-minute cooldown. Gemini app/web usage is unknown here.

Antigravity · Claude and GPT models95.1% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 27 · 4:34 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 11:19 PM MT.

Shared by Claude Opus, Claude Sonnet and GPT-OSS in Antigravity; separate from Claude Code and Codex.