28 Sep 2026 · 12:44 PM MTUpdated…
Accuracy, transcripts, allowance

Status

Executive reports

Each executive owns and dates their own account. The movement panel below tracks acceptance, reviewed delivery and execution evidence by source time.

Codex report

Updated Sep 28, 12:23 PM MT
61.5%Complete · 16/26 assigned
+3Recorded progress · last 6h
3 accepted · 0 reopened

9 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 10 assigned awaiting dispatch · 0 fresh task/run markers; markers show reported work, not accepted outcomes. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

27 of 47 tracked findings and leadership packages are source-verified complete.

Working on
Close the closed-gate incident repair path, measure storage growth at the next ordinary scorecard refresh, and preserve honest historical input-clock limits while useful products keep running.
Why
A detected failure must reach an owner and a fresh verified repair; a partial control or benchmark cannot count as a repaired product.
Verified progress
One new independent acceptance: CTRL-07 injected missing image and Yahoo cells, routed two findings, then restored both in the real staged renderer through apply-serving; live optimized rank and points remain visible. CTRL-01 and CTRL-02 remain partial because a closed gate blocks the build worker from claiming the related incident. DATA-02 now refuses verified-as-of claims on unknown issuer, lead, walkforward and G4 inputs, but historical clocks and other consumers remain incomplete. OPS-01 safely reuses unchanged cohort reports after unrelated archive growth in focused tests; production growth has not yet been measured. LDR-07 was independently accepted through owner-feedback receipts. No model gain or new live publish is inferred from these controls.
Next
Claude has a tested gate-specific incident dispatch patch proposal and owns implementation plus empty-board missed-grade proof. Verify the first ordinary scorecard refresh for actual reduced writes; retain older reports until reconstruction and references are proved. Continue DATA-02 historical clock acquisition and remaining consumer gates. Accept only completed owner-linked repair receipts.
Contribution to the vision
Convert defects into verified product repairs and durable controls while preserving the useful live product and scientific release gates.
Evidence and receipts

Canonical source-derived accountability: 27/47 in 9ee6c320 (Codex 16/26, Claude 11/21). · CTRL-07 independent staged browser/producer recovery and live optimized-total verification: ops/audits/codex-control-verification-2026-09-28.md; implementation 22210e02. · CTRL-01/02 blocked wrapper finding and isolated tested patch: 80d96ded; Claude owns production fix. · OPS-01 cohort growth control ad6cd554; three independent targeted tests; production growth unmeasured. · DATA-02 d3f1dfe7,79f1fec1,94235f66,b6c17b79; 23 independent issuer/clock/eval checks; historical clocks absent. · LDR-07 independent owner-feedback closure 91b7a088 and Claude review 98459834.

Claude report

Updated Sep 28, 12:14 PM MT
52.4%Complete · 11/21 assigned
+1Recorded progress · last 6h
1 accepted · 0 reopened

10 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 10 assigned awaiting dispatch · 0 fresh task/run markers; markers show reported work, not accepted outcomes. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Make Sean's decisions and the employees' work flow through to results he can see.

Working on
Close the remaining unresolved audit and leadership IDs Codex assigned to Claude, each to its written acceptance, while keeping the served product running.
Why
Sean approved 30 items on Friday and 12 never reached a worker because of a selection bug I introduced. Research had produced 69 findings with 0 in the served model. Activity was high and delivered value was not visible.
Verified progress
12:08 → 12:14 MT (2026-09-28): no Claude-owned id changed acceptance status in this short window — the four accepted in the prior window (CODE-6, ACTUAL-3, UX-04/UX-05, SURF-02) stand at canonical 24/47. Claude answered Codex's outstanding LDR-07 ask (owner Codex, Claude as reviewer) directly on the coord channel: independent review of OWNER-20260927-010/011 accepted, receipt 98459834/OWNER-20260928-001, verified via f81a8691/fe6e2e37/bc3ed4af plus tests.test_status_page 22/22 and a live check of the playerweek-build.pages.dev movement panel (+2 net over 6h, 11 open, disclosure present) — this closes the item escalated to Sean's Decide inbox last hour (claude-hourly-2026092812) without needing his input. Claude also posted a review queue for Codex covering 11 Claude-owned ids with evidence since 19:25 MT 9/27 (OPS-05 3345d678/d5d48b06, CTRL-07 22210e02, CTRL-02 8ee416cf, MODEL-03 b8b68978, MODEL-04 1d272297, R-02 990ccccf, R-03/LDR-02/03/04/06 d79e5853); none of those are accepted yet as of this line. Separately Codex opened CTRL-01 (Codex-owned, not touching Claude's paths) and claimed OPS-01 scorecard-growth work. Gate CLOSED, chain 8/8 linked; board 238 done/15 open; plan 127/127; disk free 67Gi/93% used.
Next
A full Claude session should: (1) wait for Codex to work the 11-item review queue posted at 12:12 (OPS-05, CTRL-07, CTRL-02, MODEL-03, MODEL-04, R-02, R-03, LDR-02/03/04/06) and respond to any reopen; (2) wire a real O3 consumer to read research/o3/candidate-queue.jsonl so R-03's 17 landed tickets have somewhere to go, and give the 4 world-model-transition records (H-218/H-021/H-289) an owned consumable path (still L-10); (3) push OPS-05's cached-digest identity check (research/nimo_batch.py:358-370) to close Codex's reopen; (4) finish LDR-06's small artifact-link follow-up (~dev/decide/src/page.js:544) and confirm coverage on the 09-28 06:40 MT manager-review run for LDR-04; (5) keep CTRL-02/CTRL-07 moving toward a real queued-incident-through-dispatch-to-served-witness closure with Codex's control worker.
Contribution to the vision
A business where Sean decides and sees results. Employees are graded daily on real output, research findings reach the served product only through paired held-out tests, and negative results are kept as learning.
Evidence and receipts

CODE-6 accepted · b598f366 · ACTUAL-3 accepted · 73ec23c0 · UX-04/UX-05 accepted · 329f5ee1 · SURF-02 accepted · ef43c11d · MODEL-03/MODEL-04 role/joint tests, both rejected · 1d272297 · R-03 lane_intake landing, 17/89 qualifying · d79e5853 · CTRL-07 recovery drill, R6 blind spot fixed · 22210e02 · R-02 standing consumption run, 2 candidates rejected · 990ccccf · OPS-05 Drive-receipt identity fix, 6 losses disclosed · d5d48b06 evidence · LDR-07 reviewed and accepted · 98459834/OWNER-20260928-001

Build movement

As of Sep 28 · 12:44 PM MDT

Product repairs reach the live screen, then independent review, then owner acceptance. Research becomes a model improvement only after measured release follow-up.

+4Recorded acceptance · 6h4 accepted · 0 reopened
0Reviewed fixes awaiting owner acceptanceRecheck live after six hours
—Active repairs · evidencedTask + run ID with heartbeat ≤15m; dash means unverified
6:44—
7:44—
8:44—
9:44—
10:44—
11:444 accepted

Recorded acceptanceIndependent review pending owner acceptance · Last recorded acceptance 21m ago · CTRL-07

Delivered · awaiting acceptance

No current reviewed delivery receipt is awaiting owner acceptance.

Execution evidence

No fresh bounded task and run receipt. Current audit worker execution is unverified.

Latest activity marker: build-w6 · 0m ago · unit 5 — picking an item (shard 6 of 8). A marker does not establish delivery.

1 Antigravity evidence checks · 6h

Latest completed 31m ago; 0 observations sent for manager review. These are preparation receipts, not accepted product or model gains.

Source: research/management/capacity/runs.jsonl · latest r20260928T121322-agy-evidence-flash-5b65e2

Waiting for action

OPS-05 · Claude · 21.8h ago

Mismatched audio archive deletion unresolved; repair executor and receipt missing.

Next: Claude assigns a bounded repair and verifies archive behavior without deleting unique material.

Recheck overdue · data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:51 and 18:13 MT
PW-93 · Claude build worker · 19.6h ago

Historical captured_at repair proven in dry run; live-slate write deferred.

Next: Run the confirmed warehouse repair in a quiet non-live-slate window, then verify rows.

Recheck overdue · c4b1564f; data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:06 MT
Canonical audit: 27/47 verified complete; partial work remains open. Recorded acceptance is a source-verdict change, not proof of model gain. All IDs and evidence ↗ · Build plan ↗

Product and machine measures

Forecast performance

Winner accuracy

How often the issued forecast picked the winning team.

Full scorecard
Live · 2026
73.3%
▼ 1.7 pts 7d
30 games · as issued
Held-out · 2024–25
56.1%
· 0.0 since Sep 22
544 games · backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023)
Live − backtest +17.3 ptsDifferent seasons and sample sizes; this difference is not a model improvement.

Served v1.0 (fit ≤2025), v1.0.1-availability (fit ≤2025), as issued before kickoff · from wk 2

Exactly what the live numbers score
  • 30 games (winner, margin, total) = Wk 2: 16 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 1 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 13 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
  • 678 player-week rows (fantasy points) = Wk 2: 363 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 32 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 283 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
  • Selection: per 2026 game and player-week: the last COMPLETE forecast-refresh run produced before that kickoff; truth: final game score, and player_week_g fantasy points (a player-week with no points row is not scored).
  • The separate served-release card (research/served_scorecard/v1.0.1-availability-20260926.json) scores a different selection, per team-game: latest VERIFIED_ACTIVATED generation activated strictly before kickoff, and scores a player who did not play in a final game as 0: v1.0-20260916 562 settled rows, weeks 2, 3 (not certified); v1.0.1-availability-20260926 366 settled rows, week 3 (certified).
  • Why these are not the consumer S / SB / SQ / SBQ accuracy cards: the served forecast is one pooled SBQ fit, so no served S, SB or SQ rows exist; these live figures mix two frozen releases rather than one release at one cutoff; and they are not yet bound to the per-grain frozen-forecast records those cards require. The arm ablation below is a refit, not the served product.
Measured vs live

Forecast quality

Winner ↑ · error ↓
measuredactualgap
Winner correctn 30
56.1%· 0.0 since Sep 22
73.3%▼ 1.7 7d
+17.3
Marginn 30
96.7%· 0.0 since Sep 22
95.1%▲ 1.6 7d
−1.6
Totaln 30
23.3%· 0.0 since Sep 22
26.2%▼ 0.4 7d
+2.9
Team pointsn 60
33.6%· 0.0 since Sep 22
37.6%▼ 4.5 7d
+3.9
Pass yardsn 60
24.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
18.7%▲ 0.3 7d
−6.2
Rush yardsn 60
32.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
32.0%▲ 0.5 7d
−0.9
Fantasy pointsn 678
55.8%· 0.0 since Sep 22
61.4%▼ 5.0 7d
+5.6

Winner = % correct. Other rows: %error = mean |pred − actual| ÷ mean |actual|. Held-out: 2024–25 (fit ≤2023). Live: 2026 as issued. Read Sep 28 · 12:44 PM MT.

With vs without

Feature contribution

Green helps
B hypB liveQ hypQ live
Winner correct
0.0
+2.2
0.0
+2.2
Margin
+0.2
+0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Total
−0.1
+0.1
−0.1
+0.1
Team points
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Pass yards
−0.1
0.0
−0.1
0.0
Rush yards
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Fantasy points
0.0
−1.5
+0.1
+0.2

B = coaching decisions; Q = injury-report text. Test = backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023); live = 2026 wk 1–3 refits. News claims are withheld.

Podcast tracker

T063,435 episodes · 602 feeds
Current season · all publication days
downloaded8,294 / 63,435 · 13.1%
transcribed3,376 / 63,435 · 5.3%
Open to load feeds.
T140,012 episodes · 613 feeds
Historical in-season · Friday published
downloaded12,712 / 40,012 · 31.8%
transcribed519 / 40,012 · 1.3%
Open to load feeds.
T2188,879 episodes · 713 feeds
Historical in-season · other days
downloaded16,458 / 188,879 · 8.7%
transcribed615 / 188,879 · 0.3%
Open to load feeds.
T3183,295 episodes · 721 feeds
Historical offseason
downloaded36 / 183,295 · 0.0%
transcribed2 / 183,295 · 0.0%
Open to load feeds.

Indexed 2026-09-28T18:43:09.101256+00:00 · 475,621 unique episodes · 894 feeds. Nimo receipt 2026-09-28T02:00:32+00:00 · Feeder policy adoption not yet verified. Friday describes publication priority, not download timing.

Research

Findings and adoption

69findings
6adopted
0live in served
26in review
See findings
In served v1.0hypactual
CARD · served v1.0.1-availability-20260926 (certified)
held-out MAE 3.54 [3.47, 3.62] (2024-25, all rostered)
live MAE 3.69 [3.30, 4.11], 366 settled (wk 3, row CI); rookie prior MAE 9.63 (2 settled); K/DEF MAE 5.35 (16 settled); 6,697 rows pending; replay 21,264/21,264 exact + 1,135/1,135 K/DEF+rookie; graded 2026-09-28 05:24 MT
CP-H49 · trailing windows include last game
−0.352 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H65 · stop pricing all weeks on wk-1 market
−0.063 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H199 · kalman share leak removed
+0.040 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H6 · order-independent room sums
−0.006 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H43 · pass attempts weighted to recent
−0.071 att MAE
no live A/B
CP-H47 · DEF events from implied total
−0.178 DEF MAE
no live A/B
Adopted findings · live shadow vs servedhypactual
B13 · draft capital on thin history
+0.048 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.031 MAE, 174 rows, 3 wk [−0.096,+0.008]; backtest −0.011 · not promoted
B41 · draft + contract on thin history
+0.059 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.025 MAE, 174 rows, 3 wk [−0.074,+0.012]; backtest −0.030 · not promoted
Q-13 · Saturday attention → availability
−0.0030 Brier (P(play))
live shadow scores from week 4; backtest +0.0029 · not promoted
Q-14 · fame adds nothing (a null)
null: −0.005 pts, floor not cleared
nothing to serve
Q-19 · expert file leaks availability (control)
control passed: −0.020 Brier = contaminated
not servable: leak
XD-S07 · empirical null for the batteries
method: null sd 2.22 vs 1.00
not a model feature
H-030 · receiving shares: Poisson + attempts weight (O3 cycle)
−0.0242 FP MAE (D-212, 2025 only)
gain +0.053 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.022,+0.130]; backtest +0.008 · not promoted
R-02 · promoted feature lf_garbage_time_clock_kill_l3 through the served training path
playgrain loop: +0.000568 log-loss delta (play grain, not FP)
gain +0.048 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.016,+0.116]; backtest −0.003 · not promoted

Σ hyp −0.38 FP MAE (4 rows) · Σ actual no live A/B

Hypotheses: docs/hypotheses.json · review incl. 9 L-07 · fixes: CHANGES-PROPOSED.md

Capacity

Weekly model allowance

Account-wide · projected from the last 24h
Claude31% remainingProjected out Sep 30 · ~10 PM MTRead Sep 28 · 12:38 PM MTHow estimated

13 quota points used over 23.9h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 9:00 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide allowance; includes work outside Playerweek.

Codex25% remainingProjected out Sep 29 · ~3 AM MTRead Sep 28 · 12:44 PM MTHow estimated

41 quota points used over 24.0h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 3 · 12:15 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide Codex allowance. Direct account-status read; no model request.

Antigravity · Gemini models77.9% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 28 · 12:44 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 7:29 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 65

Shared by Gemini Flash and Pro in Antigravity. Local scheduled starts also have a 15-minute cooldown. Gemini app/web usage is unknown here.

Antigravity · Claude and GPT models89.6% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 28 · 12:44 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 11:19 PM MT.

Shared by Claude Opus, Claude Sonnet and GPT-OSS in Antigravity; separate from Claude Code and Codex.