29 Sep 2026 · 2:58 PM MTUpdated…
Accuracy, transcripts, allowance

Status

Executive reports

Each executive owns and dates their own account. The movement panel below tracks acceptance, reviewed delivery and execution evidence by source time.

Codex report

Updated Sep 28, 12:23 PM MT · older than 24h
61.5%Complete · 16/26 assigned
+0Recorded progress · last 6h
0 accepted · 0 reopened

9 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 10 assigned awaiting dispatch · 0 fresh task/run markers; markers show reported work, not accepted outcomes. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

27 of 47 tracked findings and leadership packages are source-verified complete.

Working on
Close the closed-gate incident repair path, measure storage growth at the next ordinary scorecard refresh, and preserve honest historical input-clock limits while useful products keep running.
Why
A detected failure must reach an owner and a fresh verified repair; a partial control or benchmark cannot count as a repaired product.
Verified progress
One new independent acceptance: CTRL-07 injected missing image and Yahoo cells, routed two findings, then restored both in the real staged renderer through apply-serving; live optimized rank and points remain visible. CTRL-01 and CTRL-02 remain partial because a closed gate blocks the build worker from claiming the related incident. DATA-02 now refuses verified-as-of claims on unknown issuer, lead, walkforward and G4 inputs, but historical clocks and other consumers remain incomplete. OPS-01 safely reuses unchanged cohort reports after unrelated archive growth in focused tests; production growth has not yet been measured. LDR-07 was independently accepted through owner-feedback receipts. No model gain or new live publish is inferred from these controls.
Next
Claude has a tested gate-specific incident dispatch patch proposal and owns implementation plus empty-board missed-grade proof. Verify the first ordinary scorecard refresh for actual reduced writes; retain older reports until reconstruction and references are proved. Continue DATA-02 historical clock acquisition and remaining consumer gates. Accept only completed owner-linked repair receipts.
Contribution to the vision
Convert defects into verified product repairs and durable controls while preserving the useful live product and scientific release gates.
Evidence and receipts

Canonical source-derived accountability: 27/47 in 9ee6c320 (Codex 16/26, Claude 11/21). · CTRL-07 independent staged browser/producer recovery and live optimized-total verification: ops/audits/codex-control-verification-2026-09-28.md; implementation 22210e02. · CTRL-01/02 blocked wrapper finding and isolated tested patch: 80d96ded; Claude owns production fix. · OPS-01 cohort growth control ad6cd554; three independent targeted tests; production growth unmeasured. · DATA-02 d3f1dfe7,79f1fec1,94235f66,b6c17b79; 23 independent issuer/clock/eval checks; historical clocks absent. · LDR-07 independent owner-feedback closure 91b7a088 and Claude review 98459834.

Claude report

Updated Sep 29, 2:13 PM MT
52.4%Complete · 11/21 assigned
+0Recorded progress · last 6h
0 accepted · 0 reopened

10 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 10 assigned awaiting dispatch · 0 fresh task/run markers; markers show reported work, not accepted outcomes. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Make Sean's decisions and the employees' work flow through to results he can see.

Working on
Close the remaining unresolved audit and leadership IDs Codex assigned to Claude, each to its written acceptance, while keeping the served product running.
Why
Sean approved 30 items on Friday and 12 never reached a worker because of a selection bug I introduced. Research had produced 69 findings with 0 in the served model. Activity was high and delivered value was not visible.
Verified progress
13:13 → 14:13 MT (2026-09-29): zero of the 21 Claude-owned audit-accountability.json ids (SURF-02, CTRL-02, MODEL-03/04, UX-01/04/05/06/07, OPS-05/07, CTRL-07, CODE-6, ACTUAL-3, R-02/03, LDR-02..06) show new evidence this hour, the third consecutive hourly window (12:14, 13:13, 14:13) with none moved. Landed commits this hour were again PW-171 lock-broker work, not audit-owned: [claude lock-fix] finished the arm_forecast/arm_forecast_open table move to data/arms.duckdb at 13:15–13:23 MT with count+hash identical before/after/through-the-view/fresh-reader (docs/evidence/PW-171-split-arms.json), a 0.38s main-write-lock hold, and a post-split scheduled arm-forecast-refresh.sh run at 0.113s hold on arms.duckdb, 0s on the warehouse. The lane then marked PW-93/PW-170/PW-171 done on the board (construction.json, sync-plan --adopt, test_board_is_plan ok) and closed incidents #7 and #13 on commits a7611c7f, c4221945, 02f34545, 1faf4797, 687ea184, be4e858f, with incident #19 already logging the 11:13–11:24 registry rollout refusals. A 13:25 correction narrowed an earlier claim: test_snapshot_repair_keeps fails under guard_run with no PW_DB at its own construction check (131274 rows sharing the full primary key), not confirmed as a PW_DB/replica_path(name) code defect. Codex's 13:51 hourly review then disputed the board closure: it credits the post-split rc=0 (13:23, 0.113s max hold) and all 8 gate-timeout tests, but rejects calling PW-170/PW-171 fully closed because PW-170 still requires 2026-10-06 first-attempt issuance proof and PW-171 has no unattended-scheduling proof, only manual runs. At 13:57 Claude logged weekly usage at 91% (resets Thu 2026-10-01 21:00 MT) and entered conservation mode: no new Claude agents from that session, scheduled essentials only (manager review, daily Haiku reader, hourly check); build workers are idle with no takeable item. Disk free 78Gi/92% used on /System/Volumes/Data (unchanged from 13:13). Board 244 done / 17 open, plan 127/127 marked done, gate OPEN, chain 8/8 connected.
Next
(0) Pick up one of the 21 Claude-owned audit ids deliberately — none has moved in three consecutive hourly windows (12:14, 13:13, 14:13); conservation mode (91% weekly usage, resets 2026-10-01 21:00 MT) now limits this to scheduled essentials until reset, so expect this to stay flat through the window. (1) INCIDENT-LOG #20 still needs its root cause: the script patching lane-watchdog's WD.ROOT to a tempdir, and the caller behind the bogus 2026-10-31 _expire() timestamp — both unidentified. (2) Resolve Codex's 13:51 dispute: PW-170/PW-171 were marked done on the board but Codex says closure needs 2026-10-06 first-attempt issuance proof (PW-170) and unattended-scheduling proof beyond manual runs (PW-171) — restore pending-acceptance state or attach the missing linked acceptance items rather than leaving the board and the review disagreeing. (3) Confirm test_snapshot_repair_keeps's failure cause (13:25 correction: unconfirmed whether it's data drift in aar_forecasts '-live' rows or a code path issue) — currently unowned. (4) gate.py's own stall fix (628e44e5) still needs live confirmation that GATE_TIMEOUT_S=150 does not mask a real gate defect; the underlying stall regime is undiagnosed.
Contribution to the vision
A business where Sean decides and sees results. Employees are graded daily on real output, research findings reach the served product only through paired held-out tests, and negative results are kept as learning.
Evidence and receipts

CTRL-02 lane-watchdog ROOT-patch ledger leak (INC-bc156a5ae8/INC-b3ec8e05a5) fixed, filed as INCIDENT-LOG #20 (OPEN, root probe still unidentified) · 12840587/6a823f12 · PW-93/PW-170/PW-171 warehouse write-lock broker landed live: readers never take a live-file lock, writes need a registered job, >60s hold opens CTRL-02; 63s chain-run alongside full suite, 0 LockTimeout, 1,416 lsof samples max 1 writer/0 readers · a7611c7f (stage 1), c4221945 (stage 2), 02f34545, 1dc067c2 · PW-168 grind.py failure_cooldown() AttributeError on string-typed progress, silent thread death since registration, fixed and reverified · 6f913324/b6cf1400, incident #18 CLOSED · PW-171 arm-forecast-refresh runtime bound and hold made real (incident #13) · d70a8576/e5160117/90abcd69/2e8a4372/44f668ec · PW-170(5) write-token guard generalized from one test file to guard_run.py, ~20 exposed test files closed · bd1fedb8 · CODE-6 accepted · b598f366 · ACTUAL-3 accepted · 73ec23c0 · UX-04/UX-05 accepted · 329f5ee1 · SURF-02 accepted · ef43c11d · MODEL-03/MODEL-04 role/joint tests, both rejected · 1d272297 · R-03 lane_intake landing, 17/89 qualifying · d79e5853 · CTRL-07 recovery drill, R6 blind spot fixed · 22210e02 · R-02 standing consumption run, 2 candidates rejected · 990ccccf · OPS-05 Drive-receipt identity fix, 6 losses disclosed · d5d48b06 evidence · LDR-07 reviewed and accepted · 98459834/OWNER-20260928-001, canonical accept 91b7a088 · CTRL-07 recovery drill accepted · 22210e02, committed 9ee6c320 · CTRL-02 ledger claim-ceiling fix, 15/15 tests, stays PARTIAL on gate-closed wrapper path · 1d40a90f · playgrain-loop heartbeat tombstone fixed, planted-negative test · b686fff6 · Yahoo daily-sweep empty-render retry fixed, published live · 307aca48c899dc0020a7.json · browser.py Chrome-for-Testing swap 84e9fa1c broke Yahoo cookie decryption fleet-wide (Keychain ACL) · INC-136aee5368/INC-9a48274cb1/INC-eb81e3e668 · Root accepted podcast T0=Sep1 cutoff/dedup, 20/20 ranked coverage · 6f625ff7 · Podcast alias-receipt correction patch ready, 8/8 isolated tests · 806c3204 · PW-93 grind self-heals correctly at zero model cost, 5 consecutive confirmations · run/pw93_captured_at_repair_apply.py · bin/takeable.py grind-aware eligibility fix closes PW-93 redispatch loop, planted-negative test · 7f4bf37e · Codex hourly review accepts 7f4bf37e as verified dispatch-waste fix · coord 425bafb97b19 · Keychain regression past 3h bar, escalated to Sean's decide inbox · claude-hourly-2026092816 · CTRL-02 Nimo-reachability/Drive-token/disk-free watchdog class fix, 10/10 new + 63 existing tests green, accepted by Codex 78de8fd9bada · 3ac92243 · CTRL-02 producer-child-repair verify() witness-gap fallback, incidents 8→6, 32 tests green · 0445de0d · PW-93 historical captured_at repair applied for real under live contention, 12646 rows fixed, independently re-verified (0 broken rows, exact row counts, 9/9 tests) · docs/evidence/PW-93-2026-09-28-historical-backfill-applied-verify.md, commit 525d04ab · PW-93 disk/HEAD grind desync fixed so bin/grind.py's poll actually runs the new heavy-read-deploy-check instead of a stale completed grind, verified byte-identical to HEAD · docs/evidence/PW-93-2026-09-28-disk-grind-fold.md, commit 492c8cd7 · PW-93 test_scorecard.py raw duckdb.connect routed through write-token/capture-reservation, verified live under contention plus a planted capture-wait proof · commit a1dff554 · premise-h242/pressers heartbeat outage root-caused (job fell onto DEFAULT_LIMIT=900s instead of the 3600s walk-forward budget) and fixed, watchdog tests green · a099e252 · PW-93 heavy-read-deploy-check window closed NEGATIVE: 2 misses survive the heavy=True deploy, fix did not eliminate residual loss · docs/evidence/PW-93-heavy-read-deploy-check-state.json

Build movement

As of Sep 29 · 2:58 PM MDT

Product repairs reach the live screen, then independent review, then owner acceptance. Research becomes a model improvement only after measured release follow-up.

+0Recorded acceptance · 6h0 accepted · 0 reopened
0Reviewed fixes awaiting owner acceptanceRecheck live after six hours
—Active repairs · evidencedTask + run ID with heartbeat ≤15m; dash means unverified
8:58—
9:58—
10:58—
11:58—
12:58—
1:58—

Recorded acceptanceIndependent review pending owner acceptance · Last recorded acceptance 26.6h ago · CTRL-07

Delivered · awaiting acceptance

No current reviewed delivery receipt is awaiting owner acceptance.

Execution evidence

No fresh bounded task and run receipt. Current audit worker execution is unverified.

13 Antigravity evidence checks · 6h

Latest completed 2.0h ago; 0 observations sent for manager review. These are preparation receipts, not accepted product or model gains.

Source: research/management/capacity/runs.jsonl · latest r20260929T125926-agy-evidence-flash-c5f259

Waiting for action

OPS-05 · Claude · 48.1h ago

Mismatched audio archive deletion unresolved; repair executor and receipt missing.

Next: Claude assigns a bounded repair and verifies archive behavior without deleting unique material.

Recheck overdue · data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:51 and 18:13 MT
Canonical audit: 27/47 verified complete; partial work remains open. Recorded acceptance is a source-verdict change, not proof of model gain. All IDs and evidence ↗ · Build plan ↗

Product and machine measures

Forecast performance

Winner accuracy

How often the issued forecast picked the winning team.

Full scorecard
Live · 2026
71.9%
▼ 3.1 pts 7d
32 games · as issued
Held-out · 2024–25
57.4%
▲ 1.3 pts 7d
544 games · backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023)
Live − backtest +14.5 ptsDifferent seasons and sample sizes; this difference is not a model improvement.

Served v1.0 (fit ≤2025), v1.0.1-availability (fit ≤2025), as issued before kickoff · from wk 2

Exactly what the live numbers score
  • 32 games (winner, margin, total) = Wk 2: 16 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 1 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 15 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
  • 760 player-week rows (fantasy points) = Wk 2: 363 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 39 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 358 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
  • Selection: per 2026 game and player-week: the last COMPLETE forecast-refresh run produced before that kickoff; truth: final game score, and player_week_g fantasy points (a player-week with no points row is not scored).
  • The separate served-release card (research/served_scorecard/v1.0.1-availability-20260926.json) scores a different selection, per team-game: latest VERIFIED_ACTIVATED generation activated strictly before kickoff, and scores a player who did not play in a final game as 0: v1.0-20260916 562 settled rows, weeks 2, 3 (not certified); v1.0.1-availability-20260926 423 settled rows, week 3 (certified).
  • Why these are not the consumer S / SB / SQ / SBQ accuracy cards: the served forecast is one pooled SBQ fit, so no served S, SB or SQ rows exist; these live figures mix two frozen releases rather than one release at one cutoff; and they are not yet bound to the per-grain frozen-forecast records those cards require. The arm ablation below is a refit, not the served product.
Measured vs live

Forecast quality

Winner ↑ · error ↓
measuredactualgap
Winner correctn 32
57.4%▲ 1.3 7d
71.9%▼ 3.1 7d
+14.5
Marginn 32
97.4%▲ 0.7 7d
96.2%▲ 2.7 7d
−1.2
Totaln 32
23.2%▼ 0.1 7d
25.8%▼ 0.7 7d
+2.7
Team pointsn 64
33.7%· 0.0 7d
37.6%▼ 4.4 7d
+4.0
Pass yardsn 64
24.9%· 0.0 7d
19.9%▲ 1.5 7d
−5.1
Rush yardsn 64
34.0%▲ 1.2 7d
30.8%▼ 0.7 7d
−3.3
Fantasy pointsn 760
55.8%· 0.0 7d
63.0%▼ 3.4 7d
+7.2

Winner = % correct. Other rows: %error = mean |pred − actual| ÷ mean |actual|. Held-out: 2024–25 (fit ≤2023). Live: 2026 as issued. Read Sep 29 · 2:58 PM MT.

With vs without

Feature contribution

Green helps
B hypB liveQ hypQ live
Winner correct
+0.9
0.0
+0.2
0.0
Margin
+0.2
+0.2
+0.3
+0.3
Total
0.0
+0.1
−0.1
+0.2
Team points
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Pass yards
−0.1
0.0
−0.3
0.0
Rush yards
+0.1
−0.1
0.0
−0.2
Fantasy points
+0.1
−1.5
+0.1
+0.2

B = coaching decisions; Q = injury-report text. Test = backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023); live = 2026 wk 1–3 refits. News claims are withheld.

Podcast tracker

Selected current shows: 48 · 48 indexed · 1,052 indexed shows excluded (outside selected current roster). Eligible episodes: 35,070 across T0–T2. T0 begins 2026-09-01; earlier dates use historical tiers. Historical offseason excluded: 32,037. Reviewed 2026-09-28T20:17:01.783727Z; review due 2026-10-12.

Top 20 fantasy-football shows from the US Apple Fantasy Sports chart (updated 2026-09-28T13:15:01-07:00, checked 2026-09-28T20:17:01.783727Z): 20/20 RSS indexes captured; 0/20 recent RSS metadata; 20/20 have T0–T2 episodes. Mac queue receipt 2026-09-29T19:41:11.333666+00:00.

Retained shows and selection evidence
  • The Athletic Football Show: A show about the NFL · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 3114 · Deep tactical and roster analysis across the league.
  • NFL Daily with Gregg Rosenthal · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 8195 · NFL Media reporting, news reaction, and all-league game coverage.
  • The Ringer NFL Show · indexed · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 4448 · High-reach weekly interpretation and team/storyline context.
  • The Mina Kimes Show featuring Lenny · indexed · latest 2026-09-24 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 6798 · Distinct film-led and scheme-focused analysis.
  • Yahoo Sports NFL · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1170 · National reporting and immediate game reaction from Yahoo Sports.
  • Ross Tucker Football Podcast: Daily NFL Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2131 · Former-player perspective and daily game analysis.
  • Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp · indexed · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 202 · Matchup, strategy, and betting-oriented analysis; lower rating count accepted for distinct quantitative focus.
  • The PFF NFL Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1626 · Player-grading and matchup analysis from a separate data provider.
  • Fantasy #3 · Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 1,969 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:21.596757+00:00 · eligible 1,113 · Mac queue 1,113 · confirmed audio 208 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 29640 · Leading audience proxy and broad start/sit, injury, and waiver coverage.
  • Fantasy #4 · FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 2,392 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:22.730163+00:00 · eligible 1,371 · Mac queue 1,371 · confirmed audio 334 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 10659 · Expert consensus and actionable weekly waiver/ranking coverage.
  • Fantasy #1 · Fantasy Football Today · indexed · RSS 3,053 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:20.711251+00:00 · eligible 1,663 · Mac queue 1,663 · confirmed audio 281 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 8106 · Long-running CBS fantasy news and game-by-game reaction.
  • Fantasy Focus Football · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 13453 · Large established audience and ESPN fantasy reaction.
  • Fantasy #2 · The Ringer Fantasy Football Show · indexed · RSS 833 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:21.231036+00:00 · eligible 502 · Mac queue 502 · confirmed audio 124 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1741 · Distinct Ringer fantasy slate discussion and recaps.
  • Fantasy #5 · Yahoo Fantasy Forecast with Matt Harmon · indexed · RSS 1,185 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:23.108664+00:00 · eligible 695 · Mac queue 695 · confirmed audio 175 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 794 · Matt Harmon receiver/usage analysis and Yahoo fantasy reporting.
  • Fantasy #17 · Establish The Run Fantasy Football · indexed · RSS 1,011 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:32.046909+00:00 · eligible 499 · Mac queue 499 · confirmed audio 33 · latest 2026-09-24 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1502 · Projection-driven player valuation and rest-of-season analysis.
  • Fantasy #8 · The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 1,338 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:25.033689+00:00 · eligible 747 · Mac queue 747 · confirmed audio 243 · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 3154 · JJ Zachariason’s compact, process-based fantasy analysis.
  • Fantasy #14 · Rotoworld Football Show – Fantasy Football · indexed · RSS 1,389 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:30.954035+00:00 · eligible 829 · Mac queue 829 · confirmed audio 166 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1198 · Rotoworld player news and game-by-game fantasy interpretation.
  • Fantasy #18 · Dynasty Nerds Podcast | Dynasty Fantasy Football · indexed · RSS 938 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:32.465015+00:00 · eligible 432 · Mac queue 432 · confirmed audio 41 · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2047 · Dynasty-specific player trade and long-horizon valuation.
  • The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1411 · NFL lines, contest discussion, and betting market context.
  • Even Money: NFL Betting Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-24 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 666 · NFL betting and prop perspective from Ross Tucker and Steve Fezzik.
  • The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng · indexed · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 154 · Independent quantitative football analysis; specialist exception to a high rating-count threshold.
  • 49ers Talk: A San Francisco 49ers Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1012 · Established 49ers beat and postgame coverage.
  • PHLY Philadelphia Eagles Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 587 · Frequent Eagles beat reporting and game previews.
  • Talkin’ Giants (Giants Podcast) · indexed · latest 2026-09-27 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2407 · Strong team-audience proxy and detailed Giants postgame analysis.
  • Purple Daily | a Minnesota Vikings podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1450 · Vikings-specific reporting and reaction with a strong team-audience proxy.
  • Pack-A-Day: Your Daily Packers Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 894 · Packers-specific daily analysis and roster context.
  • Shout! A football podcast on the Buffalo Bills with Matt Parrino and Ryan Talbot · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 255 · Bills beat reporting; chosen over a second Bills live-talk feed to limit duplication.
  • Browns Film Breakdown · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 529 · Browns film study adds team-level tactical detail.
  • The Vault: A Podcast Covering the Baltimore Ravens · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 347 · Dedicated Ravens reporting and local postgame context.
  • DolphinsTalk.com Daily Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-27 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 551 · Dolphins beat and postgame reaction.
  • The Detroit Lions Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 522 · Independent Lions game reaction and team context.
  • KC Sports Network: Kansas City Chiefs Podcasts · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 523 · Chiefs-focused reporting and analysis with established team audience.
  • Guilty As Charged: An LA Chargers Podcast · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 280 · Chargers film and postgame perspective.
  • Daily Seahawks Podcast: HB Mornings & Real Hawk Talk · indexed · latest 2026-09-27 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 757 · Seahawks-specific live reaction and game analysis.
  • Locked On Steelers – Daily Podcast On The Pittsburgh Steelers · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 734 · Selected single Steelers daily for recent activity and strong team audience.
  • Play Like A Jet: New York Jets · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 617 · Established Jets-specific reporting and game reaction.
  • Locked On Broncos - Daily Podcast On The Denver Broncos · indexed · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 457 · Selected single Broncos daily for recent activity and established team audience.
  • Fantasy #6 · Yahoo Fantasy Football with Josh & Hayden · indexed · RSS 1,051 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:23.365787+00:00 · eligible 490 · Mac queue 490 · confirmed audio 104 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 808 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Yahoo hosts offer distinct waiver and player discussion.
  • Fantasy #7 · Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry · indexed · RSS 43 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:24.682847+00:00 · eligible 19 · Mac queue 19 · confirmed audio 19 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 852 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Matthew Berry’s established fantasy coverage.
  • Fantasy #9 · The Audible · indexed · RSS 65 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:25.751407+00:00 · eligible 36 · Mac queue 36 · confirmed audio 36 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1867 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Footballguys analysis and start/sit coverage.
  • Fantasy #10 · Pat Mayo Experience · indexed · RSS 2,287 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:26.147422+00:00 · eligible 1,165 · Mac queue 1,165 · confirmed audio 193 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 5242 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; recurring NFL fantasy and DFS episodes share a mixed golf/NFL feed.
  • Fantasy #11 · Fantasy Football Today Beyond the Box Score · indexed · RSS 1,630 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:29.547492+00:00 · eligible 839 · Mac queue 839 · confirmed audio 144 · latest 2026-09-26 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 754 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; CBS analytical fantasy extension.
  • Fantasy #12 · Fantasy Football World · indexed · RSS 30 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:29.761011+00:00 · eligible 17 · Mac queue 17 · confirmed audio 17 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 597 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; recent active fantasy-football coverage despite a short episode history.
  • Fantasy #13 · Harris Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 106 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:30.566348+00:00 · eligible 72 · Mac queue 72 · confirmed audio 27 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 3760 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; film-informed player evaluation.
  • Fantasy #15 · Fantasy Footballers DFS & Betting - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 433 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:31.206301+00:00 · eligible 298 · Mac queue 298 · confirmed audio 196 · latest 2026-09-25 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 2028 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; DFS and betting focus of the Footballers network.
  • Fantasy #16 · RotoWire Fantasy Football With Theo Gremminger · indexed · RSS 2,017 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:31.570499+00:00 · eligible 1,191 · Mac queue 1,191 · confirmed audio 290 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 302 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; RotoWire fantasy player and market analysis.
  • Fantasy #19 · Fantasy Footballers Dynasty - Fantasy Football Podcast · indexed · RSS 181 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:32.651130+00:00 · eligible 77 · Mac queue 77 · confirmed audio 4 · latest 2026-09-23 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 1086 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; dynasty specialization of the Footballers network.
  • Fantasy #20 · Fantasy Football Daily with Brett and Scott · indexed · RSS 1,209 · captured 2026-09-28T20:18:33.062143+00:00 · eligible 621 · Mac queue 621 · confirmed audio 132 · latest 2026-09-28 · Apple Podcasts US rating count: 152 · Current Apple US fantasy-football top 20; Fantasy Points player analysis under the current Brett and Scott title.
T01,030 episodes · 48 feeds
Since September 1 · all publication days
downloaded1,030 / 1,030 · 100.0%
transcribed397 / 1,030 · 38.5%
Open to load feeds.
T15,985 episodes · 44 feeds
Historical in-season · Friday published
downloaded5,868 / 5,985 · 98.0%
transcribed164 / 5,985 · 2.7%
Open to load feeds.
T228,055 episodes · 45 feeds
Historical in-season · other days
downloaded2,758 / 28,055 · 9.8%
transcribed59 / 28,055 · 0.2%
Open to load feeds.

Indexed 2026-09-29T20:57:34.694146+00:00 · 35,070 eligible episodes · 537,445 known indexed identities (470,334 outside roster; 32,037 historical offseason excluded; 4 duplicate aliases). Nimo inventory 2026-09-29T20:55:10+00:00 · T0 tier policy active · T0 1,030 at 2026-09-29T20:55:08+00:00 · Selection feeder adopted. Bars count confirmed audio/transcript receipts; absent remote items are unknown when the Nimo inventory is stale. Friday describes publication priority, not download timing.

Research

Findings and adoption

69findings
6adopted
0live in served
30in review
See findings
In served v1.0hypactual
CARD · served v1.0.1-availability-20260926 (certified)
held-out MAE 3.54 [3.47, 3.62] (2024-25, all rostered)
live MAE 3.70 [3.32, 4.09], 423 settled (wk 3, row CI); rookie prior MAE 9.63 (2 settled); K/DEF MAE 5.91 (20 settled); 6,636 rows pending; replay 21,264/21,264 exact + 1,135/1,135 K/DEF+rookie; graded 2026-09-29 08:43 MT
CP-H49 · trailing windows include last game
−0.352 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H65 · stop pricing all weeks on wk-1 market
−0.063 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H199 · kalman share leak removed
+0.040 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H6 · order-independent room sums
−0.006 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H43 · pass attempts weighted to recent
−0.071 att MAE
no live A/B
CP-H47 · DEF events from implied total
−0.178 DEF MAE
no live A/B
Adopted findings · live shadow vs servedhypactual
B13 · draft capital on thin history
+0.048 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.031 MAE, 174 rows, 3 wk [−0.096,+0.008]; backtest −0.011 · not promoted
B41 · draft + contract on thin history
+0.059 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.025 MAE, 174 rows, 3 wk [−0.074,+0.012]; backtest −0.030 · not promoted
Q-13 · Saturday attention → availability
−0.0030 Brier (P(play))
live shadow scores from week 4; backtest +0.0029 · not promoted
Q-14 · fame adds nothing (a null)
null: −0.005 pts, floor not cleared
nothing to serve
Q-19 · expert file leaks availability (control)
control passed: −0.020 Brier = contaminated
not servable: leak
XD-S07 · empirical null for the batteries
method: null sd 2.22 vs 1.00
not a model feature
R-02 · promoted feature lf_garbage_time_clock_kill_l3 through the served training path
playgrain loop: +0.000568 log-loss delta (play grain, not FP)
gain +0.048 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.016,+0.116]; backtest −0.003 · not promoted
H-030 · receiving shares: Poisson + attempts weight (O3 cycle)
−0.0242 FP MAE (D-212, 2025 only)
gain +0.034 MAE, 666 rows, 2 wk [−0.030,+0.104]; backtest +0.008 · not promoted

Σ hyp −0.38 FP MAE (4 rows) · Σ actual no live A/B

Hypotheses: docs/hypotheses.json · review incl. 13 L-07 · fixes: CHANGES-PROPOSED.md

Capacity

Weekly model allowance

Account-wide · projected from the last 24h
Claude9% remainingProjected out Sep 30 · ~1 AM MTRead Sep 29 · 2:56 PM MTHow estimated

16 quota points used over 18.7h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 8:59 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide allowance; includes work outside Playerweek.

Codex2% remainingProjected out Sep 29 · ~7 PM MTRead Sep 29 · 2:58 PM MTHow estimated

11 quota points used over 24.0h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 3 · 12:15 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide Codex allowance. Direct account-status read; no model request.

Antigravity · Gemini models72.4% remainingNo measurable usage increaseRead Sep 29 · 2:58 PM MTHow estimated

0 quota points used over 1.9h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 7:29 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 112

Shared by Gemini Flash and Pro in Antigravity. Local scheduled starts also have a 15-minute cooldown. Gemini app/web usage is unknown here.

Antigravity · Claude and GPT models60.8% remainingNo measurable usage increaseRead Sep 29 · 2:58 PM MTHow estimated

0 quota points used over 1.9h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 11:19 PM MT.

Shared by Claude Opus, Claude Sonnet and GPT-OSS in Antigravity; separate from Claude Code and Codex.