27 Sep 2026 · 8:01 PM MTUpdated…
Accuracy, transcripts, allowance

Status

Executive reports

Each executive owns and dates their own account. The movement panel below tracks acceptance, reviewed delivery and execution evidence by source time.

Codex report

Updated Sep 27, 7:52 PM MT
50.0%Complete · 13/26 assigned
+11Recorded progress · last 6h
11 accepted · 0 reopened

9 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 10 assigned awaiting dispatch · 3 fresh task/run markers; markers show reported work, not accepted outcomes. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Fourteen additional audit findings accepted: 22 of 47 complete.

Working on
Finish automatic producer recovery, integrate one shared trajectory capsule, and establish exact model-input ancestry; Claude continues complementary UI, Nimo and research management repairs.
Why
The owner needs a working system, and unassigned partial findings cannot remain a reporting exercise.
Verified progress
Canonical completion advanced from 8/47 to 22/47. The latest accepted fixes show exact projection cutoffs and accuracy cohorts, route missing-data incidents to workers and close only on the repaired published field, and distinguish frozen pregame scores from current results. Earlier accepted fixes cover truthful plan reporting, mobile controls, safe automatic patch landing and provider-verified storage recovery. Three Sol sessions continue the remaining control and model work in parallel with Claude; 25 findings remain open or partial.
Next
Finish fresh-source producer recovery, a replayable shared game/player capsule and independently trained candidate ancestry. Accept complementary Claude repairs as evidence arrives; future scheduled operations remain open until observed.
Contribution to the vision
Convert defects into verified product repairs and durable controls while preserving the useful live product and scientific release gates.
Evidence and receipts

Canonical acceptance: ba602b6a,854b48aa,4b9c2dae,43c678be,b598f366,9f60564f · Storage production receipt: ops/audits/storage-retention-2026-09-27.md · Current execution: /root/audit_controls_finish; /root/site_receipt_repairs; /root/repair_acceptance_code1_data01 · Latest canonical acceptance: 329f5ee1,73ec23c0; root independently reran archived-board browser check: all 10 assertions pass.

Claude report

Updated Sep 27, 7:14 PM MT
47.6%Complete · 10/21 assigned
+9Recorded progress · last 6h
10 accepted · 1 reopened

11 partial · 0 queued for dispatch · 11 assigned awaiting dispatch · 0 fresh task/run markers; markers show reported work, not accepted outcomes. Audit findings and leadership packages are separate scopes; some address related gaps. 6h = recorded acceptances minus reopenings; partial stays open. All 47 IDs and evidence ↗

How measured

Changes come from dated canonical source verdict history. First-recorded completions lack a known acceptance time and are excluded. The documented LDR-02 pre-acceptance entry correction is excluded from reopened work.

Make Sean's decisions and the employees' work flow through to results he can see.

Working on
Close the 20 unresolved audit and leadership IDs Codex assigned to Claude, each to its written acceptance, while keeping the served product running.
Why
Sean approved 30 items on Friday and 12 never reached a worker because of a selection bug I introduced. Research had produced 69 findings with 0 in the served model. Activity was high and delivered value was not visible.
Verified progress
18:13-19:14: Sean issued a direct finish order (8309f3e4, ops/CLAUDE-AUDIT-BRIEF.md) at 19:12-19:13 dispatching all 17 still-unresolved Claude-owned ids across five agents (OPS-05/SURF-02; UX-06/UX-04/UX-05/ACTUAL-3; CODE-6/CTRL-07/CTRL-02; MODEL-03/MODEL-04/R-02; R-03/LDR-02..06), each required to post '<ID> ready for Codex acceptance' before it counts done. One commit landed against a Claude-owned id this hour: CODE-6 (fa6283e6, bin/mouse_tests.py recursive-selector guard, tests/test_mouse_tests_selector.py) — but ops/audits/self-healing-2026-09-26/prioritized-findings.json still has no CODE-6/CTRL-07 entry and its repair_status text is unchanged from before this hour, so this is a landed commit, not yet an accepted repair. A follow-up channel message (19:20) flagged that commit swept an uncommitted edit and shipped a selector-coverage defect (fixture named cross.py but matched no code, leaving it uncovered); that has reportedly been fixed in place, unverified by this headless step. Last hour's OPS-05 escalation (filed to Sean's Decide inbox as claude-hourly-2026092718) was picked up this hour (19:13, [claude ops05-surf02] claim) rather than sitting stalled, so nothing new was re-escalated. Gate OPEN, chain 8/8 linked; board 238 done/14 open; plan 127/127; disk free 22Gi/98% (unchanged from last hour).
Next
A full Claude session should: (1) verify and record acceptance for CODE-6 once its selector-coverage fix (reported 19:20) is confirmed and the audit file reflects it; (2) push OPS-05 (nimo_batch.py:358-370) and SURF-02 to a written repair receipt — both are claimed but not yet landed; (3) confirm CTRL-07/CTRL-02 ownership per the 19:20 handoff proposal (Codex to release CTRL-02 unless it objects by 19:35 MT) before either side edits bin/build-loop.sh or bin/incident_ledger.py; (4) land UX-04/UX-05/ACTUAL-3 and MODEL-03/MODEL-04/R-02/R-03/LDR-02..06 to their written acceptance bar per the 19:12 finish order; (5) resume PW-157's pending board-field update and PW-93's --confirm repair once slate/lane churn allows.
Contribution to the vision
A business where Sean decides and sees results. Employees are graded daily on real output, research findings reach the served product only through paired held-out tests, and negative results are kept as learning.
Evidence and receipts

PW-21 next→done claimed · 7eac8f89 · PW-22 ridge_small wired, player MAE measured · 8fa1b389 · CTRL-07/CODE-6/R-03 verdicts · c747928b · LDR-05 · a5e1580c · LDR-04 · f78d6499 · CTRL-02 · b46a4adc · UX-01/UX-05/UX-06 · ee27e8f8 · ACTUAL-3/UX-04/UX-07 · 78ba0d3d 06636402 · git-shared-tree-guard · 0ef2162b · PW-157 last 4 loaded_undeclared closed · 207a107f

Build movement

As of Sep 27 · 8:01 PM MDT

Product repairs reach the live screen, then independent review, then owner acceptance. Research becomes a model improvement only after measured release follow-up.

+20Recorded acceptance · 6h21 accepted · 1 reopened
0Reviewed fixes awaiting owner acceptanceRecheck live after six hours
3Active repairs · evidencedTask + run ID with heartbeat ≤15m; dash means unverified
2:016 accepted
3:01—
4:01—
5:01—
6:01—
7:0115 accepted

Recorded acceptanceIndependent review pending owner acceptance · Last recorded acceptance 4m ago · SURF-02

Delivered · awaiting acceptance

No current reviewed delivery receipt is awaiting owner acceptance.

Execution evidence

DATA-02 · codex-product

source-clock eligibility followthrough

Run /root/site_receipt_repairs · heartbeat 0m ago; outcome pending
CTRL-03 · codex-controls

CTRL-03 source and served recovery ready for root acceptance

Run /root/audit_controls_finish · heartbeat 0m ago; outcome pending
OPS-06 · codex-storage

Attributing real task/run markers and accepted outputs in executive audit status.

Run /root/repair_acceptance_code1_data01 · heartbeat 4m ago; outcome pending
31 Antigravity evidence checks · 6h

Latest completed 9m ago; 14 observations sent for manager review. These are preparation receipts, not accepted product or model gains.

Source: research/management/capacity/runs.jsonl · latest r20260927T195200-agy-evidence-sonnet-364d13

Waiting for action

OPS-05 · Claude · 5.1h ago

Mismatched audio archive deletion unresolved; repair executor and receipt missing.

Next: Claude assigns a bounded repair and verifies archive behavior without deleting unique material.

Reported · data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:51 and 18:13 MT
PW-93 · Claude build worker · 2.9h ago

Historical captured_at repair proven in dry run; live-slate write deferred.

Next: Run the confirmed warehouse repair in a quiet non-live-slate window, then verify rows.

Reported · c4b1564f; data/coord/claude-codex.md 17:06 MT
Canonical audit: 23/47 verified complete; partial work remains open. Recorded acceptance is a source-verdict change, not proof of model gain. All IDs and evidence ↗ · Build plan ↗

Product and machine measures

Forecast performance

Winner accuracy

How often the issued forecast picked the winning team.

Full scorecard
Live · 2026
73.3%
· 0.0 pts 7d
30 games · as issued
Held-out · 2024–25
56.1%
· 0.0 since Sep 22
544 games · backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023)
Live − backtest +17.3 ptsDifferent seasons and sample sizes; this difference is not a model improvement.

Served v1.0 (fit ≤2025), v1.0.1-availability (fit ≤2025), as issued before kickoff · from wk 2

Exactly what the live numbers score
  • 30 games (winner, margin, total) = Wk 2: 16 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 1 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 13 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
  • 678 player-week rows (fantasy points) = Wk 2: 363 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 32 from v1.0-20260916 · Wk 3: 283 from v1.0.1-availability-20260926
  • Selection: per 2026 game and player-week: the last COMPLETE forecast-refresh run produced before that kickoff; truth: final game score, and player_week_g fantasy points (a player-week with no points row is not scored).
  • The separate served-release card (research/served_scorecard/v1.0.1-availability-20260926.json) scores a different selection, per team-game: latest VERIFIED_ACTIVATED generation activated strictly before kickoff, and scores a player who did not play in a final game as 0: v1.0-20260916 562 settled rows, weeks 2, 3 (not certified); v1.0.1-availability-20260926 366 settled rows, week 3 (certified).
  • Why these are not the consumer S / SB / SQ / SBQ accuracy cards: the served forecast is one pooled SBQ fit, so no served S, SB or SQ rows exist; these live figures mix two frozen releases rather than one release at one cutoff; and they are not yet bound to the per-grain frozen-forecast records those cards require. The arm ablation below is a refit, not the served product.
Measured vs live

Forecast quality

Winner ↑ · error ↓
measuredactualgap
Winner correctn 30
56.1%· 0.0 since Sep 22
73.3%· 0.0 7d
+17.3
Marginn 30
96.7%· 0.0 since Sep 22
95.1%▼ 0.7 7d
−1.6
Totaln 30
23.3%· 0.0 since Sep 22
26.2%▲ 0.3 7d
+2.9
Team pointsn 60
33.6%· 0.0 since Sep 22
37.6%▼ 4.1 7d
+3.9
Pass yardsn 60
24.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
18.7%▲ 1.2 7d
−6.2
Rush yardsn 60
32.9%· 0.0 since Sep 22
32.0%▲ 1.6 7d
−0.9
Fantasy pointsn 678
55.8%· 0.0 since Sep 22
61.4%▼ 3.7 7d
+5.6

Winner = % correct. Other rows: %error = mean |pred − actual| ÷ mean |actual|. Held-out: 2024–25 (fit ≤2023). Live: 2026 as issued. Read Sep 27 · 8:01 PM MT.

With vs without

Feature contribution

Green helps
B hypB liveQ hypQ live
Winner correct
0.0
+4.3
0.0
+4.3
Margin
+0.2
+0.2
+0.2
+0.2
Total
−0.1
+0.1
−0.1
+0.1
Team points
0.0
0.0
0.0
+0.1
Pass yards
−0.1
0.0
−0.1
0.0
Rush yards
0.0
+0.1
0.0
+0.1
Fantasy points
0.0
−1.5
+0.1
+0.3

B = coaching decisions; Q = injury-report text. Test = backtest 2024–25 (fit ≤2023); live = 2026 wk 1–3 refits. News claims are withheld.

Podcast transcripts

T183,768 episodes
downloaded30,931 · 37%
transcribed1,840 · 2.2%
+456 24h · pace 456/day · done Mar 26, 2027
T2164,222 episodes
downloaded3,211 · 2%
transcribed657 · 0.4%
+0 24h · pace 456/day · done Mar 19, 2028
T3227,173 episodes
downloaded3,343 · 1%
transcribed1,999 · 0.9%
+0 24h · pace 456/day · done Jul 25, 2029

Pace = all tiers, last 24 h. Worked T1, then T2, then T3. Counts Sun Sep 27 8:00 PM MDT.

Research

Findings and adoption

69findings
6adopted
0live in served
26in review
See findings
In served v1.0hypactual
CARD · served v1.0.1-availability-20260926 (certified)
held-out MAE 3.54 [3.47, 3.62] (2024-25, all rostered)
live MAE 3.69 [3.30, 4.11], 366 settled (wk 3, row CI); rookie prior MAE 9.63 (2 settled); K/DEF MAE 5.35 (16 settled); 6,697 rows pending; replay 21,264/21,264 exact + 1,135/1,135 K/DEF+rookie; graded 2026-09-27 19:22 MT
CP-H49 · trailing windows include last game
−0.352 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H65 · stop pricing all weeks on wk-1 market
−0.063 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H199 · kalman share leak removed
+0.040 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H6 · order-independent room sums
−0.006 FP MAE
no live A/B
CP-H43 · pass attempts weighted to recent
−0.071 att MAE
no live A/B
CP-H47 · DEF events from implied total
−0.178 DEF MAE
no live A/B
Adopted findings · live shadow vs servedhypactual
B13 · draft capital on thin history
+0.048 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.046 MAE, 136 rows, 3 wk [−0.296,+0.011]; backtest −0.011 · not promoted
B41 · draft + contract on thin history
+0.059 pts RMSE vs BASE (thin)
gain −0.031 MAE, 136 rows, 3 wk [−0.210,+0.016]; backtest −0.030 · not promoted
Q-13 · Saturday attention → availability
−0.0030 Brier (P(play))
live shadow scores from week 4; backtest +0.0029 · not promoted
Q-14 · fame adds nothing (a null)
null: −0.005 pts, floor not cleared
nothing to serve
Q-19 · expert file leaks availability (control)
control passed: −0.020 Brier = contaminated
not servable: leak
XD-S07 · empirical null for the batteries
method: null sd 2.22 vs 1.00
not a model feature
H-030 · receiving shares: Poisson + attempts weight (O3 cycle)
−0.0242 FP MAE (D-212, 2025 only)
gain +0.053 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.022,+0.130]; backtest +0.008 · not promoted
R-02 · promoted feature lf_garbage_time_clock_kill_l3 through the served training path
playgrain loop: +0.000568 log-loss delta (play grain, not FP)
gain +0.048 MAE, 372 rows, 2 wk [−0.016,+0.116]; backtest −0.003 · not promoted

Σ hyp −0.38 FP MAE (4 rows) · Σ actual no live A/B

Hypotheses: docs/hypotheses.json · review incl. 9 L-07 · fixes: CHANGES-PROPOSED.md

Capacity

Weekly model allowance

Account-wide · projected from the last 24h
Claude32% remainingProjected out Sep 29 · ~7 AM MTRead Sep 27 · 7:53 PM MTHow estimated

22 quota points used over 23.9h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 9:00 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide allowance; includes work outside Playerweek.

Codex33% remainingProjected out Sep 28 · ~2 PM MTRead Sep 27 · 8:01 PM MTHow estimated

44 quota points used over 24.0h within the last 24h; pace may change.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 3 · 12:15 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 0

Account-wide Codex allowance. Direct account-status read; no model request.

Antigravity · Gemini models78.6% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 27 · 8:01 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 7:29 PM MT.

Logged scheduled starts, last 24h: 71

Shared by Gemini Flash and Pro in Antigravity. Local scheduled starts also have a 15-minute cooldown. Gemini app/web usage is unknown here.

Antigravity · Claude and GPT models89.4% remainingInsufficient history for forecastRead Sep 27 · 8:01 PM MTHow estimated

Needs two readings at least 30 minutes apart in this reset window.

Weekly allowance resets Oct 1 · 11:19 PM MT.

Shared by Claude Opus, Claude Sonnet and GPT-OSS in Antigravity; separate from Claude Code and Codex.